Traders have placed near-total confidence in Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets from June 6 through June 8, driven by his established pattern of steady but contained daily activity on X. This range aligns with his typical volume during non-eventful windows, where promotional posts, replies, and commentary rarely escalate into extreme bursts. The minimal implied probability on 240-plus outcomes highlights how such figures would demand sustained, record-level engagement far beyond documented precedents. Resolution hinges on the final verified count, with any weekend momentum shifts from news cycles or platform interactions serving as the main variables that could test the upper edge of the favored bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,170,130 Vol.
$1,170,130 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
<40
No
40-64
Yes
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,170,130 Vol.
$1,170,130 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
<40
$193,113 Vol.
No
40-64
$284,036 Vol.
Yes
65-89
$255,806 Vol.
No
90-114
$221,204 Vol.
No
115-139
$119,743 Vol.
No
140-164
$35,054 Vol.
No
165-189
$26,664 Vol.
No
190-214
$15,760 Vol.
No
215-239
$8,861 Vol.
No
240+
$9,891 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have placed near-total confidence in Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets from June 6 through June 8, driven by his established pattern of steady but contained daily activity on X. This range aligns with his typical volume during non-eventful windows, where promotional posts, replies, and commentary rarely escalate into extreme bursts. The minimal implied probability on 240-plus outcomes highlights how such figures would demand sustained, record-level engagement far beyond documented precedents. Resolution hinges on the final verified count, with any weekend momentum shifts from news cycles or platform interactions serving as the main variables that could test the upper edge of the favored bracket.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jun 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,170,130End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have placed near-total confidence in Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets from June 6 through June 8, driven by his established pattern of steady but contained daily activity on X. This range aligns with his typical volume during non-eventful windows, where promotional posts, replies, and commentary rarely escalate into extreme bursts. The minimal implied probability on 240-plus outcomes highlights how such figures would demand sustained, record-level engagement far beyond documented precedents. Resolution hinges on the final verified count, with any weekend momentum shifts from news cycles or platform interactions serving as the main variables that could test the upper edge of the favored bracket.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,170,130End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have placed near-total confidence in Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets from June 6 through June 8, driven by his established pattern of steady but contained daily activity on X. This range aligns with his typical volume during non-eventful windows, where promotional posts, replies, and commentary rarely escalate into extreme bursts. The minimal implied probability on 240-plus outcomes highlights how such figures would demand sustained, record-level engagement far beyond documented precedents. Resolution hinges on the final verified count, with any weekend momentum shifts from news cycles or platform interactions serving as the main variables that could test the upper edge of the favored bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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