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icon for Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?

880-919 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$726,617 Vol.

880-919 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$726,617 Vol.

<20

$1,836 Vol.

No

20-39

$803 Vol.

No

40-59

$994 Vol.

No

60-79

$725 Vol.

No

80-99

$725 Vol.

No

100-119

$794 Vol.

No

120-139

$775 Vol.

No

140-159

$814 Vol.

No

160-179

$814 Vol.

No

180-199

$437 Vol.

No

200-219

$317 Vol.

No

220-239

$169 Vol.

No

240-259

$169 Vol.

No

260-279

$169 Vol.

No

280-299

$169 Vol.

No

300-319

$169 Vol.

No

320-339

$169 Vol.

No

340-359

$169 Vol.

No

360-379

$169 Vol.

No

380-399

$429 Vol.

No

400-419

$435 Vol.

No

420-439

$5,043 Vol.

No

440-459

$3,637 Vol.

No

460-479

$7,034 Vol.

No

480-499

$13,764 Vol.

No

500-519

$8,390 Vol.

No

520-539

$15,482 Vol.

No

540-559

$12,404 Vol.

No

560-579

$14,392 Vol.

No

580-599

$15,937 Vol.

No

600-619

$15,093 Vol.

No

620-639

$11,809 Vol.

No

640-659

$6,874 Vol.

No

660-679

$6,147 Vol.

No

680-699

$8,201 Vol.

No

700-719

$11,524 Vol.

No

720-739

$13,351 Vol.

No

740-759

$14,069 Vol.

No

760-779

$28,291 Vol.

No

780-799

$36,058 Vol.

No

800-839

$97,040 Vol.

No

840-879

$183,591 Vol.

No

880-919

$65,847 Vol.

Yes

920-959

$50,443 Vol.

No

960-999

$38,870 Vol.

No

1000+

$32,075 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on the 880-919 range for Elon Musk’s August 2026 X activity because his established daily cadence held steady without major spikes or drop-offs. Consistent commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and broader tech topics produced a predictable volume that aligned with historical averages of roughly 28–30 posts per day once replies were excluded. No late-month political firestorms, product launches, or viral threads pushed totals into higher brackets, allowing the market to price the outcome near certainty. An upset would require an unforeseen surge from breaking news, a high-profile personal announcement, or extended engagement in contested threads during the final days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$726,617
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on the 880-919 range for Elon Musk’s August 2026 X activity because his established daily cadence held steady without major spikes or drop-offs. Consistent commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and broader tech topics produced a predictable volume that aligned with historical averages of roughly 28–30 posts per day once replies were excluded. No late-month political firestorms, product launches, or viral threads pushed totals into higher brackets, allowing the market to price the outcome near certainty. An upset would require an unforeseen surge from breaking news, a high-profile personal announcement, or extended engagement in contested threads during the final days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$726,617
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "880-919" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?" has generated $726.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?" is "880-919" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.