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Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

280-299 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$14,414,520 Vol.

280-299 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$14,414,520 Vol.

<20

$132,946 Vol.

No

20-39

$29,555 Vol.

No

40-59

$28,763 Vol.

No

60-79

$39,328 Vol.

No

80-99

$131,329 Vol.

No

100-119

$79,948 Vol.

No

120-139

$122,045 Vol.

No

140-159

$190,544 Vol.

No

160-179

$370,956 Vol.

No

180-199

$495,720 Vol.

No

200-219

$546,411 Vol.

No

220-239

$547,326 Vol.

No

240-259

$613,997 Vol.

No

260-279

$1,031,883 Vol.

No

280-299

$1,984,527 Vol.

Yes

300-319

$1,110,020 Vol.

No

320-339

$1,260,375 Vol.

No

340-359

$797,610 Vol.

No

360-379

$741,255 Vol.

No

380-399

$807,327 Vol.

No

400-419

$715,741 Vol.

No

420-439

$503,596 Vol.

No

440-459

$604,228 Vol.

No

460-479

$330,779 Vol.

No

480-499

$423,073 Vol.

No

500-519

$144,317 Vol.

No

520-539

$114,244 Vol.

No

540-559

$140,060 Vol.

No

560-579

$134,686 Vol.

No

580+

$241,930 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 280-299 tweets by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) at a near-certain implied probability, driven by real-time trackers like xTracker confirming exactly 299 posts from the market window of April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14 12:00 PM ET. Elon's steady daily average of 43 posts—fueled by routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary—held firm without the posting surge required to breach 300, as verified through April 13 with negligible activity into April 14 morning. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his predictable high-volume X presence amid viral pop culture moments. An upset to 300-319 would demand an improbable last-minute frenzy before noon ET close, defying recent patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$14,414,520
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 280-299 tweets by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) at a near-certain implied probability, driven by real-time trackers like xTracker confirming exactly 299 posts from the market window of April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14 12:00 PM ET. Elon's steady daily average of 43 posts—fueled by routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary—held firm without the posting surge required to breach 300, as verified through April 13 with negligible activity into April 14 morning. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his predictable high-volume X presence amid viral pop culture moments. An upset to 300-319 would demand an improbable last-minute frenzy before noon ET close, defying recent patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$14,414,520
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "280-299" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?" has generated $14.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is "280-299" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.