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icon for Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Ended: Apr 10

Aug 14

Aug 18

Aug 21

Ended: Apr 10

Aug 14

Aug 18

Aug 21

240-259 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$11,134,329 Vol.

240-259 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$11,134,329 Vol.

<20

$61,918 Vol.

No

20-39

$97,939 Vol.

No

40-59

$63,219 Vol.

No

60-79

$101,082 Vol.

No

80-99

$159,768 Vol.

No

100-119

$152,516 Vol.

No

120-139

$187,533 Vol.

No

140-159

$258,464 Vol.

No

160-179

$533,882 Vol.

No

180-199

$632,881 Vol.

No

200-219

$1,093,924 Vol.

No

220-239

$1,310,580 Vol.

No

240-259

$830,617 Vol.

Yes

260-279

$1,053,142 Vol.

No

280-299

$782,839 Vol.

No

300-319

$685,828 Vol.

No

320-339

$590,184 Vol.

No

340-359

$361,097 Vol.

No

360-379

$342,183 Vol.

No

380-399

$256,679 Vol.

No

400-419

$186,384 Vol.

No

420-439

$222,100 Vol.

No

440-459

$177,951 Vol.

No

460-479

$130,614 Vol.

No

480-499

$149,589 Vol.

No

500-519

$147,072 Vol.

No

520-539

$267,378 Vol.

No

540-559

$71,757 Vol.

No

560-579

$59,259 Vol.

No

580+

$165,952 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 240-259 times on X from April 3 to April 10, 2026, driven by verified trackers showing exactly 241 posts as of late morning ET today, with the market window closing at noon ET. This reflects his consistent daily average of around 34 posts over the first seven days, amid steady engagement on topics like Tesla updates, politics, and memes—typical of Musk's high-volume social media presence. Historical patterns confirm such pacing rarely surges dramatically, cementing the frontrunner. An upset would require an improbable final-hour barrage exceeding 18 posts in under an hour, defying his observed rhythms, though markets acknowledge entertainment unpredictability until resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,134,329
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 240-259 times on X from April 3 to April 10, 2026, driven by verified trackers showing exactly 241 posts as of late morning ET today, with the market window closing at noon ET. This reflects his consistent daily average of around 34 posts over the first seven days, amid steady engagement on topics like Tesla updates, politics, and memes—typical of Musk's high-volume social media presence. Historical patterns confirm such pacing rarely surges dramatically, cementing the frontrunner. An upset would require an improbable final-hour barrage exceeding 18 posts in under an hour, defying his observed rhythms, though markets acknowledge entertainment unpredictability until resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,134,329
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "240-259" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" has generated $11.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" is "240-259" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.