Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the 65-89 tweet range at virtually 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's X posts from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25 noon ET, driven by the official xtracker.polymarket.com data logging mid-20s countable posts daily—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—across the period, putting the total firmly in that bin with just hours remaining. Recent developments show subdued activity amid low-key cultural moments, lacking the viral controversies, Tesla announcements, or political firestorms that historically fuel Elon's tweet barrages beyond 30 per day. An upset would require an unprecedented 20+ extra main feed posts in the final stretch, improbable without a major catalyst like breaking SpaceX news.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,082,804 Vol.
$2,082,804 Vol.
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Yes
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,082,804 Vol.
$2,082,804 Vol.
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Yes
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the 65-89 tweet range at virtually 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's X posts from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25 noon ET, driven by the official xtracker.polymarket.com data logging mid-20s countable posts daily—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—across the period, putting the total firmly in that bin with just hours remaining. Recent developments show subdued activity amid low-key cultural moments, lacking the viral controversies, Tesla announcements, or political firestorms that historically fuel Elon's tweet barrages beyond 30 per day. An upset would require an unprecedented 20+ extra main feed posts in the final stretch, improbable without a major catalyst like breaking SpaceX news.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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