Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $670 billion by April 30 at 34% implied probability, driven primarily by SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1 targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation—up from $1.25 trillion post its February xAI merger—where Musk holds roughly 40–43% stake. Tesla shares surged 0.5% to $394 on April 15, lifting his ~$263 billion position amid recent volatility from $346 on April 10, positioning current estimates around $636–811 billion per Bloomberg and Forbes trackers. The fragmented field below 34% underscores uncertainty from Tesla's impending Q1 earnings, potential Starship delays, and pre-IPO tender fluctuations, with upside hinging on sustained stock momentum and downside risks from market corrections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated670b+ 33%
660-670b 15%
650-660b 12%
620-630b 11%
$58,464 Vol.
$58,464 Vol.
<600b
7%
600-610b
9%
610-620b
7%
620-630b
11%
630-640b
11%
640-650b
10%
650-660b
12%
660-670b
15%
670b+
33%
670b+ 33%
660-670b 15%
650-660b 12%
620-630b 11%
$58,464 Vol.
$58,464 Vol.
<600b
7%
600-610b
9%
610-620b
7%
620-630b
11%
630-640b
11%
640-650b
10%
650-660b
12%
660-670b
15%
670b+
33%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $670 billion by April 30 at 34% implied probability, driven primarily by SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1 targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation—up from $1.25 trillion post its February xAI merger—where Musk holds roughly 40–43% stake. Tesla shares surged 0.5% to $394 on April 15, lifting his ~$263 billion position amid recent volatility from $346 on April 10, positioning current estimates around $636–811 billion per Bloomberg and Forbes trackers. The fragmented field below 34% underscores uncertainty from Tesla's impending Q1 earnings, potential Starship delays, and pre-IPO tender fluctuations, with upside hinging on sustained stock momentum and downside risks from market corrections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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