President Donald Trump's sustained Truth Social posting frequency, averaging 18-19 originals and reposts daily in 2026—including 565 in April—drives trader consensus toward 160-179 posts for the May 5-12 window, aligning with partial tallies around 163 as of May 12 per trackers like TrumpMeter. Recent bursts, such as 42 posts on May 10 criticizing Iran negotiations, Supreme Court tariff rulings, and Fox News coverage, plus 11 judicial nominations announced May 11, have accelerated the pace after a quieter start to the week. The 180-199 range reflects potential evening surges on May 12 amid China trip anticipation and foreign policy updates, while 200+ faces barriers from historical ceilings absent extreme events. Lower brackets like 140-159 trade near zero given the established trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 56.5%
200+ 20.3%
180-199 20.2%
140-159 <1%
$200,670 Vol.
$200,670 Vol.
May 12, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
58%
180-199
20%
200+
20%
160-179 56.5%
200+ 20.3%
180-199 20.2%
140-159 <1%
$200,670 Vol.
$200,670 Vol.
May 12, 2026
140-159
$43,850 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$14,315 Vol.
58%
180-199
$12,828 Vol.
20%
200+
$14,506 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's sustained Truth Social posting frequency, averaging 18-19 originals and reposts daily in 2026—including 565 in April—drives trader consensus toward 160-179 posts for the May 5-12 window, aligning with partial tallies around 163 as of May 12 per trackers like TrumpMeter. Recent bursts, such as 42 posts on May 10 criticizing Iran negotiations, Supreme Court tariff rulings, and Fox News coverage, plus 11 judicial nominations announced May 11, have accelerated the pace after a quieter start to the week. The 180-199 range reflects potential evening surges on May 12 amid China trip anticipation and foreign policy updates, while 200+ faces barriers from historical ceilings absent extreme events. Lower brackets like 140-159 trade near zero given the established trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$200,670End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's sustained Truth Social posting frequency, averaging 18-19 originals and reposts daily in 2026—including 565 in April—drives trader consensus toward 160-179 posts for the May 5-12 window, aligning with partial tallies around 163 as of May 12 per trackers like TrumpMeter. Recent bursts, such as 42 posts on May 10 criticizing Iran negotiations, Supreme Court tariff rulings, and Fox News coverage, plus 11 judicial nominations announced May 11, have accelerated the pace after a quieter start to the week. The 180-199 range reflects potential evening surges on May 12 amid China trip anticipation and foreign policy updates, while 200+ faces barriers from historical ceilings absent extreme events. Lower brackets like 140-159 trade near zero given the established trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$200,670End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump's sustained Truth Social posting frequency, averaging 18-19 originals and reposts daily in 2026—including 565 in April—drives trader consensus toward 160-179 posts for the May 5-12 window, aligning with partial tallies around 163 as of May 12 per trackers like TrumpMeter. Recent bursts, such as 42 posts on May 10 criticizing Iran negotiations, Supreme Court tariff rulings, and Fox News coverage, plus 11 judicial nominations announced May 11, have accelerated the pace after a quieter start to the week. The 180-199 range reflects potential evening surges on May 12 amid China trip anticipation and foreign policy updates, while 200+ faces barriers from historical ceilings absent extreme events. Lower brackets like 140-159 trade near zero given the established trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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