Skip to main content
icon for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

icon for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

160-179 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$342,590 Vol.

160-179 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$342,590 Vol.

<20

$6,113 Vol.

No

20-39

$7,255 Vol.

No

40-59

$5,856 Vol.

No

60-79

$15,256 Vol.

No

80-99

$11,608 Vol.

No

100-119

$20,602 Vol.

No

120-139

$52,204 Vol.

No

140-159

$150,240 Vol.

No

160-179

$39,175 Vol.

Yes

180-199

$18,822 Vol.

No

200+

$15,459 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus reflects 100% certainty on Donald Trump posting 160-179 times on Truth Social from May 1-8, 2026, anchored by his consistent 20+ daily average—up from April's 18-22 pace—fueled by frequent commentary on Iran Strait tensions, U.S. destroyer incidents, Senate endorsements like Andy Barr's on May 1, and White House updates. Cumulative counts through May 7 have secured the range, with May 8's expected 20-25 posts fitting seamlessly per trackers like Polymarket's Post Counter, which tallies main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts while excluding most replies. This commanding position stems from no disruptions in his prolific, often late-night posting pattern during his presidency. Realistic challenges are remote: a Truth Social outage, disputed repost exclusions upon resolution, or an improbable posting surge/drop tied to health or technical issues.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$342,590
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus reflects 100% certainty on Donald Trump posting 160-179 times on Truth Social from May 1-8, 2026, anchored by his consistent 20+ daily average—up from April's 18-22 pace—fueled by frequent commentary on Iran Strait tensions, U.S. destroyer incidents, Senate endorsements like Andy Barr's on May 1, and White House updates. Cumulative counts through May 7 have secured the range, with May 8's expected 20-25 posts fitting seamlessly per trackers like Polymarket's Post Counter, which tallies main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts while excluding most replies. This commanding position stems from no disruptions in his prolific, often late-night posting pattern during his presidency. Realistic challenges are remote: a Truth Social outage, disputed repost exclusions upon resolution, or an improbable posting surge/drop tied to health or technical issues.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$342,590
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "160-179" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?" has generated $342.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?" is "160-179" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.