Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and early 2026 for roughly 126-133 per week, forms the baseline for trader assessments of the July 14-21 period. Recent Iran-related military developments have produced short-term spikes, including days exceeding 30 posts, yet no major scheduled events or confirmed escalations currently align with the resolution window. The near-even distribution across 40-199 and 200+ buckets captures uncertainty over whether routine commentary, campaign updates, or breaking developments will push volume higher or keep it within historical norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated100-119 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$61,124 Vol.
$61,124 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
Yes
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
100-119 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$61,124 Vol.
$61,124 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
Yes
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and early 2026 for roughly 126-133 per week, forms the baseline for trader assessments of the July 14-21 period. Recent Iran-related military developments have produced short-term spikes, including days exceeding 30 posts, yet no major scheduled events or confirmed escalations currently align with the resolution window. The near-even distribution across 40-199 and 200+ buckets captures uncertainty over whether routine commentary, campaign updates, or breaking developments will push volume higher or keep it within historical norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions