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icon for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·United States

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

icon for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·United States

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19.1%

Jon Ossoff 16.7%

Gavin Newsom 12.7%

Kamala Harris 8.3%

Polymarket

$1,277,919,933 Vol.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19.1%

Jon Ossoff 16.7%

Gavin Newsom 12.7%

Kamala Harris 8.3%

Polymarket

$1,277,919,933 Vol.

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$15,181,744 Vol.

19%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$12,905,789 Vol.

17%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$27,291,756 Vol.

13%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$13,292,896 Vol.

8%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,954,569 Vol.

6%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$12,000,767 Vol.

5%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$17,585,054 Vol.

3%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$13,184,896 Vol.

3%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$14,569,130 Vol.

2%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$10,644,167 Vol.

2%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$18,420,311 Vol.

2%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$11,277,093 Vol.

2%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$15,721,268 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$12,509,863 Vol.

1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$12,057,368 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$50,437,558 Vol.

1%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$32,188,734 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$26,300,391 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$44,409,940 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chris Murphy

Chris Murphy

$17,405,700 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$52,742,218 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett

$36,465,903 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$26,247,366 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$24,756,069 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elissa Slotkin

Elissa Slotkin

$1,182,274 Vol.

<1%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$23,010,124 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$22,930,359 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$35,768,877 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$38,941,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$31,516,307 Vol.

<1%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$34,062,726 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$43,905,920 Vol.

<1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$48,731,719 Vol.

<1%

icon for Abigail Spanberger

Abigail Spanberger

$3,081,131 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Stein

Josh Stein

$2,376,339 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$43,455,093 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$25,594,040 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$27,360,604 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$38,494,242 Vol.

<1%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$42,401,359 Vol.

<1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$43,965,943 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$43,426,074 Vol.

<1%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$40,994,435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$54,388,009 Vol.

<1%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$42,811,600 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$42,862,291 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruben Gallego

Ruben Gallego

$8,475,167 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graham Platner

Graham Platner

$8,523,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$803,511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Schiff

Adam Schiff

$499,636 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alex Padilla

Alex Padilla

$806,665 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market remains tightly contested because no candidate has consolidated broad support in a post-2024 environment where the party continues reassessing its direction. Prediction market pricing places Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff ahead of Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris, reflecting trader emphasis on base mobilization and perceived electability over national polling averages that often favor Harris. Recent developments include Newsom’s September statement that he would not run if Harris enters, AOC’s continued refusal to rule out a bid while securing her House nomination, and Ossoff’s repeated denials of interest despite rising odds. Progressive groups have pushed for AOC and Ro Khanna, while term-limited governors like Newsom conduct early-state outreach. The 2026 midterms and any formal announcements could shift positioning before primaries begin.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,277,919,933
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market remains tightly contested because no candidate has consolidated broad support in a post-2024 environment where the party continues reassessing its direction. Prediction market pricing places Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff ahead of Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris, reflecting trader emphasis on base mobilization and perceived electability over national polling averages that often favor Harris. Recent developments include Newsom’s September statement that he would not run if Harris enters, AOC’s continued refusal to rule out a bid while securing her House nomination, and Ossoff’s repeated denials of interest despite rising odds. Progressive groups have pushed for AOC and Ro Khanna, while term-limited governors like Newsom conduct early-state outreach. The 2026 midterms and any formal announcements could shift positioning before primaries begin.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,277,919,933
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 19%, followed by "Jon Ossoff" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $1.3 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Ossoff" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.