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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 27.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Kamala Harris 6.8%

Jon Ossoff 6.5%

Polymarket

$1,073,613,488 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 27.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Kamala Harris 6.8%

Jon Ossoff 6.5%

Polymarket

$1,073,613,488 Vol.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Gavin Newsom

$24,315,016 Vol.

27%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$12,443,012 Vol.

8%

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Kamala Harris

$11,130,682 Vol.

7%

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Jon Ossoff

$8,228,689 Vol.

7%

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Pete Buttigieg

$10,197,751 Vol.

4%

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Josh Shapiro

$7,221,587 Vol.

4%

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Mark Kelly

$13,737,381 Vol.

3%

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Andy Beshear

$11,366,105 Vol.

3%

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Jon Stewart

$20,847,846 Vol.

2%

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

James Talarico

$8,787,889 Vol.

2%

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

J.B. Pritzker

$13,426,418 Vol.

2%

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Ro Khanna

$9,661,047 Vol.

2%

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$8,267,515 Vol.

1%

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Rahm Emanuel

$12,797,426 Vol.

1%

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Wes Moore

$14,847,997 Vol.

1%

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Stephen A. Smith

$19,132,937 Vol.

1%

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Michelle Obama

$23,261,619 Vol.

1%

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,899,676 Vol.

1%

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Roy Cooper

$27,111,969 Vol.

1%

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

John Fetterman

$18,035,617 Vol.

1%

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Ruben Gallego

$4,764,152 Vol.

1%

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Mark Cuban

$20,501,252 Vol.

1%

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Oprah Winfrey

$47,982,656 Vol.

1%

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Cory Booker

$22,869,480 Vol.

1%

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Liz Cheney

$34,873,919 Vol.

1%

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Chelsea Clinton

$46,614,127 Vol.

1%

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Raphael Warnock

$27,657,682 Vol.

1%

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Barack Obama

$28,583,387 Vol.

1%

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

George Clooney

$39,059,526 Vol.

1%

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Tim Walz

$38,649,355 Vol.

1%

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Zohran Mamdani

$34,688,986 Vol.

1%

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Andrew Yang

$44,530,747 Vol.

1%

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Jared Polis

$22,334,335 Vol.

1%

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

LeBron James

$40,199,709 Vol.

1%

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

MrBeast

$36,666,043 Vol.

1%

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Chris Murphy

$13,191,072 Vol.

1%

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Hillary Clinton

$39,435,381 Vol.

1%

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Gina Raimondo

$30,314,385 Vol.

1%

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Beto O’Rourke

$36,426,600 Vol.

1%

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Kim Kardashian

$35,282,253 Vol.

1%

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Phil Murphy

$37,574,232 Vol.

1%

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Hunter Biden

$33,621,736 Vol.

1%

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Jasmine Crockett

$28,545,666 Vol.

1%

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Bernie Sanders

$43,533,716 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors California Governor Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee at 27.4% implied probability, driven by his executive experience, national fundraising prowess, and high-profile resistance to Trump administration policies, including recent positioning hints at South by Southwest in March. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive base enthusiasm and social media reach, while Kamala Harris at 6.8% faces electability skepticism despite leading some April YouGov voter preference polls and her April 10 statement mulling a bid; Jon Ossoff at 6.5% gains from Georgia swing-state credentials. This wide-open field post-2024 could consolidate around 2026 midterm performers, Obama-era endorsements, early Iowa polling, or standout fundraising amid divergent surveys from prediction markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,073,613,488
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors California Governor Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee at 27.4% implied probability, driven by his executive experience, national fundraising prowess, and high-profile resistance to Trump administration policies, including recent positioning hints at South by Southwest in March. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive base enthusiasm and social media reach, while Kamala Harris at 6.8% faces electability skepticism despite leading some April YouGov voter preference polls and her April 10 statement mulling a bid; Jon Ossoff at 6.5% gains from Georgia swing-state credentials. This wide-open field post-2024 could consolidate around 2026 midterm performers, Obama-era endorsements, early Iowa polling, or standout fundraising amid divergent surveys from prediction markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,073,613,488
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 27%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $1.1 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.