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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 27.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Kamala Harris 6.8%

Jon Ossoff 6.5%

Polymarket

$1,073,500,074 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 27.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Kamala Harris 6.8%

Jon Ossoff 6.5%

Polymarket

$1,073,500,074 Vol.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Gavin Newsom

$24,313,846 Vol.

27%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$12,442,137 Vol.

8%

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Kamala Harris

$11,129,203 Vol.

7%

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Jon Ossoff

$8,228,453 Vol.

7%

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Pete Buttigieg

$10,197,464 Vol.

4%

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Josh Shapiro

$7,221,029 Vol.

4%

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Mark Kelly

$13,730,263 Vol.

3%

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Andy Beshear

$11,345,581 Vol.

3%

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Jon Stewart

$20,847,488 Vol.

2%

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

James Talarico

$8,786,609 Vol.

2%

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

J.B. Pritzker

$13,423,794 Vol.

2%

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Ro Khanna

$9,647,002 Vol.

2%

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$8,267,347 Vol.

1%

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Rahm Emanuel

$12,794,326 Vol.

1%

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Wes Moore

$14,846,349 Vol.

1%

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Stephen A. Smith

$19,132,638 Vol.

1%

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Michelle Obama

$23,259,919 Vol.

1%

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,897,134 Vol.

1%

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Roy Cooper

$27,107,664 Vol.

1%

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

John Fetterman

$18,035,299 Vol.

1%

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Ruben Gallego

$4,761,858 Vol.

1%

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Mark Cuban

$20,496,939 Vol.

1%

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Oprah Winfrey

$47,981,675 Vol.

1%

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Cory Booker

$22,866,852 Vol.

1%

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Liz Cheney

$34,872,094 Vol.

1%

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Chelsea Clinton

$46,612,145 Vol.

1%

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Raphael Warnock

$27,655,356 Vol.

1%

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Barack Obama

$28,581,262 Vol.

1%

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

George Clooney

$39,058,099 Vol.

1%

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Tim Walz

$38,647,538 Vol.

1%

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Zohran Mamdani

$34,687,738 Vol.

1%

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Andrew Yang

$44,529,032 Vol.

1%

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Jared Polis

$22,332,847 Vol.

1%

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

LeBron James

$40,198,411 Vol.

1%

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

MrBeast

$36,664,737 Vol.

1%

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Chris Murphy

$13,187,986 Vol.

1%

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Hillary Clinton

$39,432,515 Vol.

1%

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Gina Raimondo

$30,312,863 Vol.

1%

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Beto O’Rourke

$36,423,998 Vol.

1%

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Kim Kardashian

$35,279,880 Vol.

1%

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Phil Murphy

$37,571,850 Vol.

1%

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Hunter Biden

$33,621,670 Vol.

1%

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Jasmine Crockett

$28,544,003 Vol.

1%

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? icon

Bernie Sanders

$43,530,272 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear early frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 27.4%, driven by his executive experience, robust fundraising, national media profile from anti-Trump advocacy, and competitive general election odds against figures like JD Vance—despite recent YouGov and Yale Youth polls from mid-April showing Kamala Harris leading hypothetical primaries at 20-41%. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive appeal and youth mobilization, while Harris at 6.8% benefits from name recognition but faces 2024 baggage. Jon Ossoff's 6.6% reflects Georgia battleground appeal. Mid-2026 midterm results, donor commitments, and shadow primary endorsements could consolidate support, with Newsom's post-term availability aiding momentum in this wide-open field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,073,500,074
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear early frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 27.4%, driven by his executive experience, robust fundraising, national media profile from anti-Trump advocacy, and competitive general election odds against figures like JD Vance—despite recent YouGov and Yale Youth polls from mid-April showing Kamala Harris leading hypothetical primaries at 20-41%. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive appeal and youth mobilization, while Harris at 6.8% benefits from name recognition but faces 2024 baggage. Jon Ossoff's 6.6% reflects Georgia battleground appeal. Mid-2026 midterm results, donor commitments, and shadow primary endorsements could consolidate support, with Newsom's post-term availability aiding momentum in this wide-open field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,073,500,074
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 27%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $1.1 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.