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icon for Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

icon for Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

Ended: Sep 1

Ended: Sep 1

$13,103 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$13,103 Vol.

Polymarket

10,000+

$2,454 Vol.

Yes

15,000+

$4,592 Vol.

Yes

20,000+

$6,057 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.**The primary driver of trader sentiment is the record-shattering 2026 cyclosporiasis season, with CDC data showing 17,180 laboratory-confirmed domestically acquired cases from May 1 through August 24—more than 14 times the 1,180 cases recorded over the same period in 2025.** A major multistate outbreak tied to processed iceberg lettuce from central Mexico accounts for a substantial share of illnesses, alongside at least six other clusters under investigation by CDC and FDA. Cases span 48 states plus D.C., with 922 hospitalizations and two deaths reported; median symptom onset was July 7. Cyclosporiasis, caused by the Cyclospora cayetanensis parasite and typically transmitted via contaminated fresh produce, follows a pronounced seasonal pattern peaking in summer. Because confirmation involves lab testing, patient interviews, and reporting lags, final August 31 totals may rise further even after the official season closes, directly shaping market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.
Volume
$13,103
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.**The primary driver of trader sentiment is the record-shattering 2026 cyclosporiasis season, with CDC data showing 17,180 laboratory-confirmed domestically acquired cases from May 1 through August 24—more than 14 times the 1,180 cases recorded over the same period in 2025.** A major multistate outbreak tied to processed iceberg lettuce from central Mexico accounts for a substantial share of illnesses, alongside at least six other clusters under investigation by CDC and FDA. Cases span 48 states plus D.C., with 922 hospitalizations and two deaths reported; median symptom onset was July 7. Cyclosporiasis, caused by the Cyclospora cayetanensis parasite and typically transmitted via contaminated fresh produce, follows a pronounced seasonal pattern peaking in summer. Because confirmation involves lab testing, patient interviews, and reporting lags, final August 31 totals may rise further even after the official season closes, directly shaping market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.
Volume
$13,103
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10,000+" at 100%, followed by "15,000+" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?" has generated $13.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?" is "10,000+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "15,000+" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.