icon for Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?

Finance·Costco

Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?

6.5%–7.5% 100.0%

<4.5% <1%

4.5%–5.5% <1%

5.5%–6.5% <1%

$3,881 Vol.

$3,881 Vol.

May 28, 2026

<4.5%

$928 Vol.

No

4.5%–5.5%

$692 Vol.

No

5.5%–6.5%

$380 Vol.

No

6.5%–7.5%

$621 Vol.

Yes

7.5%–8.5%

$996 Vol.

No

8.5%+

$264 Vol.

No

6.5%–7.5% 100.0%

<4.5% <1%

4.5%–5.5% <1%

5.5%–6.5% <1%

$3,881 Vol.

$3,881 Vol.

May 28, 2026

<4.5%

$928 Vol.

No

4.5%–5.5%

$692 Vol.

No

5.5%–6.5%

$380 Vol.

No

6.5%–7.5%

$621 Vol.

Yes

7.5%–8.5%

$996 Vol.

No

8.5%+

$264 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to Costco's announced US adjusted comparable sales growth for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials. For the purposes of this market, US adjusted comparable sales growth refers to comparable sales growth excluding the impact of gasoline prices and foreign exchange, as reported by Costco in its official earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Costco's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the US adjusted comparable sales growth figure excluding gasoline prices and foreign exchange will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to Costco's announced US adjusted comparable sales growth for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials. For the purposes of this market, US adjusted comparable sales growth refers to comparable sales growth excluding the impact of gasoline prices and foreign exchange, as reported by Costco in its official earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Costco's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the US adjusted comparable sales growth figure excluding gasoline prices and foreign exchange will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6.5%–7.5%" at 100%, followed by "<4.5%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?" is "6.5%–7.5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<4.5%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "6.5%–7.5%" in the "Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "6.5%–7.5%" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.