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icon for Costa Rica Presidential Election

Costa Rica Presidential Election

icon for Costa Rica Presidential Election

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado 100.0%

Douglas Caamaño Quirós <1%

Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya <1%

Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes <1%

Polymarket

$4,361,347 Vol.

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado 100.0%

Douglas Caamaño Quirós <1%

Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya <1%

Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes <1%

Polymarket

$4,361,347 Vol.

icon for Douglas Caamaño Quirós

Douglas Caamaño Quirós

$45,986 Vol.

No

icon for Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya

Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya

$88,057 Vol.

No

icon for Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes

Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes

$228,412 Vol.

No

icon for Walter Rubén Hernández Juárez

Walter Rubén Hernández Juárez

$64,954 Vol.

No

icon for Eliécer Feinzaig Mintz

Eliécer Feinzaig Mintz

$46,320 Vol.

No

icon for Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz

Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz

$88,328 Vol.

No

icon for Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes

Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes

$351,971 Vol.

No

icon for Boris Molina Acevedo

Boris Molina Acevedo

$33,587 Vol.

No

icon for Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo

$384,151 Vol.

No

icon for David Hernández Brenes

David Hernández Brenes

$30,879 Vol.

No

icon for Marco David Rodríguez Badilla

Marco David Rodríguez Badilla

$46,658 Vol.

No

icon for Luis Esteban Amador Jiménez

Luis Esteban Amador Jiménez

$49,235 Vol.

No

icon for Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

$658,072 Vol.

No

icon for Fernando Zamora Castellanos

Fernando Zamora Castellanos

$43,094 Vol.

No

icon for Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$1,962,515 Vol.

Yes

icon for Natalia Díaz Quintana

Natalia Díaz Quintana

$76,031 Vol.

No

icon for José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal

José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal

$163,097 Vol.

No

The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).

The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).
Volume
$4,361,347
End Date
Feb 1, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 11, 2025, 12:11 PM ET
The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).

The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).
Volume
$4,361,347
End Date
Feb 1, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 11, 2025, 12:11 PM ET
The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Costa Rica Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado" at 100%, followed by "Douglas Caamaño Quirós" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Costa Rica Presidential Election" has generated $4.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Costa Rica Presidential Election," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Costa Rica Presidential Election" is "Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Douglas Caamaño Quirós" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Costa Rica Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.