**House passage of a war powers resolution on June 3-4 has not translated into completed congressional action before the June 30 deadline.** The measure, directing the president under the 1973 War Powers Resolution to end U.S. hostilities with Iran absent new authorization, cleared the Republican-led House 215-208 with limited GOP support. The Senate advanced a related procedural measure in May but has taken no final vote as of June 11. With roughly three weeks left and ongoing diplomatic talks over the Strait of Hormuz and cease-fire terms, Senate leadership has shown little urgency to schedule a floor vote that could divide the majority party. Traders therefore assign only an 8.7% chance of both chambers completing passage of a qualifying resolution by the cutoff, reflecting the narrow remaining window, procedural barriers in the upper chamber, and divided Republican priorities ahead of the midterms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$79,224 Vol.
$79,224 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$79,224 Vol.
$79,224 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.**House passage of a war powers resolution on June 3-4 has not translated into completed congressional action before the June 30 deadline.** The measure, directing the president under the 1973 War Powers Resolution to end U.S. hostilities with Iran absent new authorization, cleared the Republican-led House 215-208 with limited GOP support. The Senate advanced a related procedural measure in May but has taken no final vote as of June 11. With roughly three weeks left and ongoing diplomatic talks over the Strait of Hormuz and cease-fire terms, Senate leadership has shown little urgency to schedule a floor vote that could divide the majority party. Traders therefore assign only an 8.7% chance of both chambers completing passage of a qualifying resolution by the cutoff, reflecting the narrow remaining window, procedural barriers in the upper chamber, and divided Republican priorities ahead of the midterms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Volume
$79,224End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.**House passage of a war powers resolution on June 3-4 has not translated into completed congressional action before the June 30 deadline.** The measure, directing the president under the 1973 War Powers Resolution to end U.S. hostilities with Iran absent new authorization, cleared the Republican-led House 215-208 with limited GOP support. The Senate advanced a related procedural measure in May but has taken no final vote as of June 11. With roughly three weeks left and ongoing diplomatic talks over the Strait of Hormuz and cease-fire terms, Senate leadership has shown little urgency to schedule a floor vote that could divide the majority party. Traders therefore assign only an 8.7% chance of both chambers completing passage of a qualifying resolution by the cutoff, reflecting the narrow remaining window, procedural barriers in the upper chamber, and divided Republican priorities ahead of the midterms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$79,224End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**House passage of a war powers resolution on June 3-4 has not translated into completed congressional action before the June 30 deadline.** The measure, directing the president under the 1973 War Powers Resolution to end U.S. hostilities with Iran absent new authorization, cleared the Republican-led House 215-208 with limited GOP support. The Senate advanced a related procedural measure in May but has taken no final vote as of June 11. With roughly three weeks left and ongoing diplomatic talks over the Strait of Hormuz and cease-fire terms, Senate leadership has shown little urgency to schedule a floor vote that could divide the majority party. Traders therefore assign only an 8.7% chance of both chambers completing passage of a qualifying resolution by the cutoff, reflecting the narrow remaining window, procedural barriers in the upper chamber, and divided Republican priorities ahead of the midterms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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