Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd holds the edge in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District race, benefiting from the seat’s Republican lean—reflected in Donald Trump’s 7.5-point 2024 margin—and his comfortable June primary win over challenger Ron Hanks. Democrat Dwayne Romero, who defeated Alex Kelloff in the Democratic primary, has narrowed the contest by emphasizing cost-of-living issues and local concerns in a district spanning the Western Slope and southern Colorado. A late-July poll showed the race nearly tied among likely voters, though most nonpartisan ratings classify it as lean or likely Republican. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus on the current margins aligns with the district’s structural tilt while acknowledging Romero’s path through swing unaffiliated voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$11,904 Vol.
$11,904 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Jeff Hurd (R)
63%
Dwayne Romero (D)
38%
$11,904 Vol.
$11,904 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Jeff Hurd (R)
$3,383 Vol.
63%
Dwayne Romero (D)
$8,521 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd holds the edge in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District race, benefiting from the seat’s Republican lean—reflected in Donald Trump’s 7.5-point 2024 margin—and his comfortable June primary win over challenger Ron Hanks. Democrat Dwayne Romero, who defeated Alex Kelloff in the Democratic primary, has narrowed the contest by emphasizing cost-of-living issues and local concerns in a district spanning the Western Slope and southern Colorado. A late-July poll showed the race nearly tied among likely voters, though most nonpartisan ratings classify it as lean or likely Republican. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus on the current margins aligns with the district’s structural tilt while acknowledging Romero’s path through swing unaffiliated voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$11,904End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd holds the edge in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District race, benefiting from the seat’s Republican lean—reflected in Donald Trump’s 7.5-point 2024 margin—and his comfortable June primary win over challenger Ron Hanks. Democrat Dwayne Romero, who defeated Alex Kelloff in the Democratic primary, has narrowed the contest by emphasizing cost-of-living issues and local concerns in a district spanning the Western Slope and southern Colorado. A late-July poll showed the race nearly tied among likely voters, though most nonpartisan ratings classify it as lean or likely Republican. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus on the current margins aligns with the district’s structural tilt while acknowledging Romero’s path through swing unaffiliated voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,904End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd holds the edge in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District race, benefiting from the seat’s Republican lean—reflected in Donald Trump’s 7.5-point 2024 margin—and his comfortable June primary win over challenger Ron Hanks. Democrat Dwayne Romero, who defeated Alex Kelloff in the Democratic primary, has narrowed the contest by emphasizing cost-of-living issues and local concerns in a district spanning the Western Slope and southern Colorado. A late-July poll showed the race nearly tied among likely voters, though most nonpartisan ratings classify it as lean or likely Republican. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus on the current margins aligns with the district’s structural tilt while acknowledging Romero’s path through swing unaffiliated voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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