Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd holds a lead in trader consensus for Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district’s Republican lean—where Donald Trump prevailed by 7.5 points in 2024—and Hurd’s primary victory over challenger Ron Hanks in June. Hurd secured roughly 67 percent in that contest, positioning him as the established conservative voice emphasizing border security, tax policy, and rural priorities. Democrat Dwayne Romero, an Army veteran and former Aspen City Council member, won his primary with 55 percent and has focused his general-election campaign on cost-of-living pressures and local business experience. The November 3 contest remains competitive given the district’s history of narrow margins, though Hurd benefits from incumbency and stronger early fundraising.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$11,900 Vol.
$11,900 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Jeff Hurd (R)
63%
Dwayne Romero (D)
38%
$11,900 Vol.
$11,900 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Jeff Hurd (R)
$3,383 Vol.
63%
Dwayne Romero (D)
$8,517 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd holds a lead in trader consensus for Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district’s Republican lean—where Donald Trump prevailed by 7.5 points in 2024—and Hurd’s primary victory over challenger Ron Hanks in June. Hurd secured roughly 67 percent in that contest, positioning him as the established conservative voice emphasizing border security, tax policy, and rural priorities. Democrat Dwayne Romero, an Army veteran and former Aspen City Council member, won his primary with 55 percent and has focused his general-election campaign on cost-of-living pressures and local business experience. The November 3 contest remains competitive given the district’s history of narrow margins, though Hurd benefits from incumbency and stronger early fundraising.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$11,900End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd holds a lead in trader consensus for Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district’s Republican lean—where Donald Trump prevailed by 7.5 points in 2024—and Hurd’s primary victory over challenger Ron Hanks in June. Hurd secured roughly 67 percent in that contest, positioning him as the established conservative voice emphasizing border security, tax policy, and rural priorities. Democrat Dwayne Romero, an Army veteran and former Aspen City Council member, won his primary with 55 percent and has focused his general-election campaign on cost-of-living pressures and local business experience. The November 3 contest remains competitive given the district’s history of narrow margins, though Hurd benefits from incumbency and stronger early fundraising.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,900End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd holds a lead in trader consensus for Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district’s Republican lean—where Donald Trump prevailed by 7.5 points in 2024—and Hurd’s primary victory over challenger Ron Hanks in June. Hurd secured roughly 67 percent in that contest, positioning him as the established conservative voice emphasizing border security, tax policy, and rural priorities. Democrat Dwayne Romero, an Army veteran and former Aspen City Council member, won his primary with 55 percent and has focused his general-election campaign on cost-of-living pressures and local business experience. The November 3 contest remains competitive given the district’s history of narrow margins, though Hurd benefits from incumbency and stronger early fundraising.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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