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icon for Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

Chen Su-yueh 89%

Wei Ping-cheng 9%

Chiu Chien-fu 1.4%

Lin Shih-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$13,745 Vol.

Chen Su-yueh 89%

Wei Ping-cheng 9%

Chiu Chien-fu 1.4%

Lin Shih-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$13,745 Vol.

icon for Chen Su-yueh

Chen Su-yueh

$7,897 Vol.

89%

icon for Wei Ping-cheng

Wei Ping-cheng

$1,499 Vol.

9%

icon for Chiu Chien-fu

Chiu Chien-fu

$1,086 Vol.

1%

icon for Lin Shih-hsien

Lin Shih-hsien

$1,446 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hung Jung-chang

Hung Jung-chang

$970 Vol.

<1%

icon for Huang Hsiu-fang

Huang Hsiu-fang

$848 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh holds a dominant position in the Changhua County Magistrate race as the DPP nominee, reflecting trader consensus on her strong polling lead and unified party backing after winning the December 2025 primary. Internal KMT divisions have undermined Wei Ping-cheng, the party's May 2026 nominee, including the bypassing of other contenders and the notable absence of term-limited incumbent Wang Huei-mei from his campaign events through September 2026. Independent candidate Chiu Chien-fu, who left the DPP after losing the primary, has registered but registers minimal support, while the TPP opted against fielding a contender. Recent polls showing Chen ahead by wide margins, combined with KMT organizational challenges in this evenly balanced county, have reinforced the current implied probabilities ahead of the November election.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$13,745
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh holds a dominant position in the Changhua County Magistrate race as the DPP nominee, reflecting trader consensus on her strong polling lead and unified party backing after winning the December 2025 primary. Internal KMT divisions have undermined Wei Ping-cheng, the party's May 2026 nominee, including the bypassing of other contenders and the notable absence of term-limited incumbent Wang Huei-mei from his campaign events through September 2026. Independent candidate Chiu Chien-fu, who left the DPP after losing the primary, has registered but registers minimal support, while the TPP opted against fielding a contender. Recent polls showing Chen ahead by wide margins, combined with KMT organizational challenges in this evenly balanced county, have reinforced the current implied probabilities ahead of the November election.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$13,745
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chen Su-yueh" at 89%, followed by "Wei Ping-cheng" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" has generated $13.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Chen Su-yueh" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wei Ping-cheng" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.