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icon for Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will a Team Win with a Sub 40 ADR Player
Sports·CS2

Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will a Team Win with a Sub 40 ADR Player

icon for Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will a Team Win with a Sub 40 ADR Player
Sports·CS2

Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will a Team Win with a Sub 40 ADR Player

>99% chance
Polymarket

$148 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$148 Vol.

This market will resolve "Yes" if, in any completed map across BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026, a team wins the map while at least one player on that winning team finishes the map with an ADR (Average Damage per Round) of less than 40. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." ADR is measured per player, per map, as recorded by the resolution source. The sub-40 ADR player must be on the team that won the map. A player finishing with an ADR of less than 40.0 on a map won by their team resolves this market "Yes." Every completed map in every official match of the event counts. If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is cancelled, or is not completed such that its results are not determined by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, an online group stage with 32 teams followed by Malta LAN playoffs creates balance around the 50% implied probability for a sub-40 ADR player appearing on a winning side. Professional CS2 rosters typically feature ADR ranges of 70-85, but support roles, entry fraggers in tough matchups, or underdogs in Bo3 series can post outlier-low damage output while teammates deliver map wins. Recent prior seasons showed occasional low-contribution performances in lopsided victories or utility-heavy games, and the broad field mixing tier-1 squads with developing organizations heightens variance in individual stats. Roster stability, map veto outcomes, and early group-stage form will influence whether such instances occur or if consistent fragging across lineups keeps probabilities near even.

This market will resolve "Yes" if, in any completed map across BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026, a team wins the map while at least one player on that winning team finishes the map with an ADR (Average Damage per Round) of less than 40. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."

ADR is measured per player, per map, as recorded by the resolution source. The sub-40 ADR player must be on the team that won the map. A player finishing with an ADR of less than 40.0 on a map won by their team resolves this market "Yes." Every completed map in every official match of the event counts.

If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is cancelled, or is not completed such that its results are not determined by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$148
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 2:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if, in any completed map across BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026, a team wins the map while at least one player on that winning team finishes the map with an ADR (Average Damage per Round) of less than 40. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." ADR is measured per player, per map, as recorded by the resolution source. The sub-40 ADR player must be on the team that won the map. A player finishing with an ADR of less than 40.0 on a map won by their team resolves this market "Yes." Every completed map in every official match of the event counts. If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is cancelled, or is not completed such that its results are not determined by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve "Yes" if, in any completed map across BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026, a team wins the map while at least one player on that winning team finishes the map with an ADR (Average Damage per Round) of less than 40. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." ADR is measured per player, per map, as recorded by the resolution source. The sub-40 ADR player must be on the team that won the map. A player finishing with an ADR of less than 40.0 on a map won by their team resolves this market "Yes." Every completed map in every official match of the event counts. If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is cancelled, or is not completed such that its results are not determined by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, an online group stage with 32 teams followed by Malta LAN playoffs creates balance around the 50% implied probability for a sub-40 ADR player appearing on a winning side. Professional CS2 rosters typically feature ADR ranges of 70-85, but support roles, entry fraggers in tough matchups, or underdogs in Bo3 series can post outlier-low damage output while teammates deliver map wins. Recent prior seasons showed occasional low-contribution performances in lopsided victories or utility-heavy games, and the broad field mixing tier-1 squads with developing organizations heightens variance in individual stats. Roster stability, map veto outcomes, and early group-stage form will influence whether such instances occur or if consistent fragging across lineups keeps probabilities near even.

This market will resolve "Yes" if, in any completed map across BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026, a team wins the map while at least one player on that winning team finishes the map with an ADR (Average Damage per Round) of less than 40. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."

ADR is measured per player, per map, as recorded by the resolution source. The sub-40 ADR player must be on the team that won the map. A player finishing with an ADR of less than 40.0 on a map won by their team resolves this market "Yes." Every completed map in every official match of the event counts.

If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is cancelled, or is not completed such that its results are not determined by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$148
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 2:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if, in any completed map across BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026, a team wins the map while at least one player on that winning team finishes the map with an ADR (Average Damage per Round) of less than 40. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." ADR is measured per player, per map, as recorded by the resolution source. The sub-40 ADR player must be on the team that won the map. A player finishing with an ADR of less than 40.0 on a map won by their team resolves this market "Yes." Every completed map in every official match of the event counts. If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is cancelled, or is not completed such that its results are not determined by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will a Team Win with a Sub 40 ADR Player" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will a Team Win with a Sub 40 ADR Player" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will a Team Win with a Sub 40 ADR Player," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will a Team Win with a Sub 40 ADR Player" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will a Team Win with a Sub 40 ADR Player" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.