Traders view the Billboard Hot 100 second spot for the week of July 25 as highly competitive, with Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” and Drake’s “Janice STFU” both carrying 60% implied probability on the back of sustained streaming velocity and radio airplay. A broad cluster of tracks sits near 50%, underscoring how mid-week streaming surges, playlist placements, and last-minute promotional pushes can still reorder the ranking before final tallies lock. Lower odds for Ella Langley’s three entries and Ariana Grande’s single highlight genre fragmentation and the difficulty newer country or pop releases face when competing against established superstars in the same tracking period. Upcoming chart updates remain the decisive swing factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of July 25
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of July 25
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 99.8%
I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen <1%
Be Her - Ella Langley <1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley <1%
$15,647 Vol.
$15,647 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
Be Her - Ella Langley
No
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
No
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
Yes
Dracula - Tame Impala, JENNIE
No
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
No
Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo
No
I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen
No
Janice STFU - Drake
No
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 99.8%
I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen <1%
Be Her - Ella Langley <1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley <1%
$15,647 Vol.
$15,647 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
Be Her - Ella Langley
$323 Vol.
No
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$420 Vol.
No
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$11,187 Vol.
Yes
Dracula - Tame Impala, JENNIE
$730 Vol.
No
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$465 Vol.
No
Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo
$451 Vol.
No
I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen
$875 Vol.
No
Janice STFU - Drake
$1,196 Vol.
No
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 25, 2026”. The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Traders view the Billboard Hot 100 second spot for the week of July 25 as highly competitive, with Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” and Drake’s “Janice STFU” both carrying 60% implied probability on the back of sustained streaming velocity and radio airplay. A broad cluster of tracks sits near 50%, underscoring how mid-week streaming surges, playlist placements, and last-minute promotional pushes can still reorder the ranking before final tallies lock. Lower odds for Ella Langley’s three entries and Ariana Grande’s single highlight genre fragmentation and the difficulty newer country or pop releases face when competing against established superstars in the same tracking period. Upcoming chart updates remain the decisive swing factor.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 25, 2026”. The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 25, 2026”. The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Volume
$15,647End Date
Jul 21, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 11:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 25, 2026”. The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Traders view the Billboard Hot 100 second spot for the week of July 25 as highly competitive, with Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” and Drake’s “Janice STFU” both carrying 60% implied probability on the back of sustained streaming velocity and radio airplay. A broad cluster of tracks sits near 50%, underscoring how mid-week streaming surges, playlist placements, and last-minute promotional pushes can still reorder the ranking before final tallies lock. Lower odds for Ella Langley’s three entries and Ariana Grande’s single highlight genre fragmentation and the difficulty newer country or pop releases face when competing against established superstars in the same tracking period. Upcoming chart updates remain the decisive swing factor.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 25, 2026”. The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 25, 2026”. The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$15,647End Date
Jul 21, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 11:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders view the Billboard Hot 100 second spot for the week of July 25 as highly competitive, with Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” and Drake’s “Janice STFU” both carrying 60% implied probability on the back of sustained streaming velocity and radio airplay. A broad cluster of tracks sits near 50%, underscoring how mid-week streaming surges, playlist placements, and last-minute promotional pushes can still reorder the ranking before final tallies lock. Lower odds for Ella Langley’s three entries and Ariana Grande’s single highlight genre fragmentation and the difficulty newer country or pop releases face when competing against established superstars in the same tracking period. Upcoming chart updates remain the decisive swing factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 15?
99%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 22?
98%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15?
99%
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