Olivia Dean's "Man I Need" commands 100% implied probability as Billboard Hot 100 #2 for the week of April 25, 2026, locked in by final midweek tracking data and Talk of the Charts' predictions showing it holding behind Ella Langley's multi-week #1 "Choosin' Texas." This marks the track's seventh straight week at its peak—its highest position after 34 weeks charting—fueled by sustained dominance on Pop Airplay and Adult R&B charts, stable streaming volumes, and consistent sales that outpace challengers like Alex Warren's "Ordinary" or BTS' "SWIM." Trader consensus reflects real-money confidence in these metrics, with no viable late-tracking surges evident. Realistic upsets would require freak data revisions or unreported viral spikes, highly improbable at this stage ahead of Tuesday's official chart.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of April 25
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of April 25
Man I Need - Olivia Dean 100.0%
Be Her - Ella Langley <1%
So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean <1%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars <1%
$12,934 Vol.
$12,934 Vol.
Man I Need - Olivia Dean
Yes
Be Her - Ella Langley
No
So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean
No
I Just Might - Bruno Mars
No
Ordinary - Alex Warren
No
SWIM - BTS
No
Man I Need - Olivia Dean 100.0%
Be Her - Ella Langley <1%
So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean <1%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars <1%
$12,934 Vol.
$12,934 Vol.
Man I Need - Olivia Dean
Yes
Be Her - Ella Langley
No
So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean
No
I Just Might - Bruno Mars
No
Ordinary - Alex Warren
No
SWIM - BTS
No
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 25, 2026”.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 25, 2026”.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Olivia Dean's "Man I Need" commands 100% implied probability as Billboard Hot 100 #2 for the week of April 25, 2026, locked in by final midweek tracking data and Talk of the Charts' predictions showing it holding behind Ella Langley's multi-week #1 "Choosin' Texas." This marks the track's seventh straight week at its peak—its highest position after 34 weeks charting—fueled by sustained dominance on Pop Airplay and Adult R&B charts, stable streaming volumes, and consistent sales that outpace challengers like Alex Warren's "Ordinary" or BTS' "SWIM." Trader consensus reflects real-money confidence in these metrics, with no viable late-tracking surges evident. Realistic upsets would require freak data revisions or unreported viral spikes, highly improbable at this stage ahead of Tuesday's official chart.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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