Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15

icon for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15

Ended: Aug 11

Sep 15

Ended: Aug 11

Sep 15

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 100.0%

Petal - Ariana Grande <1%

Boston - Stella Lefty <1%

Be Her - Ella Langley <1%

Polymarket

$13,027 Vol.

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 100.0%

Petal - Ariana Grande <1%

Boston - Stella Lefty <1%

Be Her - Ella Langley <1%

Polymarket

$13,027 Vol.

Petal - Ariana Grande

$2,861 Vol.

No

Boston - Stella Lefty

$1,173 Vol.

No

Be Her - Ella Langley

$1,173 Vol.

No

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$3,865 Vol.

Yes

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo

$870 Vol.

No

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

$1,173 Vol.

No

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

$1,216 Vol.

No

Been By Now - Morgan Wallen

$695 Vol.

No

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands overwhelming trader consensus for the Billboard Hot 100 dated August 15 thanks to its unprecedented run of dominance. The country single has already logged 16 or more weeks at No. 1, surpassing historical benchmarks for non-holiday titles by solo women and showing no signs of deceleration in streaming, radio airplay, or sales. Sustained cultural momentum, including record-breaking country chart performance and broad crossover appeal, reinforces its position ahead of the tracking week. While new releases from artists like Ariana Grande or Taylor Swift could theoretically surge if they post outsized debut numbers, current metrics and recent chart history make any upset highly unlikely before the data locks.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$13,027
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands overwhelming trader consensus for the Billboard Hot 100 dated August 15 thanks to its unprecedented run of dominance. The country single has already logged 16 or more weeks at No. 1, surpassing historical benchmarks for non-holiday titles by solo women and showing no signs of deceleration in streaming, radio airplay, or sales. Sustained cultural momentum, including record-breaking country chart performance and broad crossover appeal, reinforces its position ahead of the tracking week. While new releases from artists like Ariana Grande or Taylor Swift could theoretically surge if they post outsized debut numbers, current metrics and recent chart history make any upset highly unlikely before the data locks.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$13,027
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

icon for Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of September 19?

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of September 19?

98%
icon for Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 19?

Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 19?

97%
icon for Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19?

Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19?

78%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 100%, followed by "Petal - Ariana Grande" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15" has generated $13K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15" is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Petal - Ariana Grande" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.