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Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31?

Market icon

Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31?

0% chance
Polymarket

$4,219 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$4,219 Vol.

If the US Department of Defense (DoD) announces the Biden Administration's forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021 by July 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note that an announcement will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

This market's resolution only concerns the forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021, and not other aid packages.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the DoD (e.g. https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,219
End Date
Jul 31, 2023
Market Opened
Jul 19, 2023, 9:44 AM ET
If the US Department of Defense (DoD) announces the Biden Administration's forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021 by July 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." This market's resolution only concerns the forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021, and not other aid packages. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the DoD (e.g. https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

If the US Department of Defense (DoD) announces the Biden Administration's forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021 by July 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note that an announcement will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

This market's resolution only concerns the forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021, and not other aid packages.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the DoD (e.g. https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,219
End Date
Jul 31, 2023
Market Opened
Jul 19, 2023, 9:44 AM ET
If the US Department of Defense (DoD) announces the Biden Administration's forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021 by July 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." This market's resolution only concerns the forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021, and not other aid packages. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the DoD (e.g. https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 19, 2023. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.