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icon for Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?

icon for Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?

NEW
Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket

$7,073 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$2,911 Vol.

2%

July 31, 2027

$182 Vol.

36%

December 31, 2027

$3,979 Vol.

86%

If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Bayeux Tapestry, a 70-metre embroidered linen chronicle of the 1066 Norman Conquest, left its permanent home at the Bayeux Museum in Normandy during 2025 renovations and arrived in London in July 2026 after a meticulously planned, low-vibration journey via the Channel Tunnel. Under the 2025 Franco-British loan agreement, it is scheduled for public display at the British Museum from 10 September 2026 to 11 July 2027, with the UK providing full indemnity and strict conservation protocols. The contract explicitly requires its return to France no later than 1 September 2027, timed to enable reinstallation ahead of the renovated Bayeux Museum’s reopening later that year. This fixed timeline, backed by high-level diplomatic commitments and successful transport precedents, shapes trader views on the most probable return window, while any unforeseen conservation issues or political shifts remain low-probability variables.

If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,073
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Bayeux Tapestry, a 70-metre embroidered linen chronicle of the 1066 Norman Conquest, left its permanent home at the Bayeux Museum in Normandy during 2025 renovations and arrived in London in July 2026 after a meticulously planned, low-vibration journey via the Channel Tunnel. Under the 2025 Franco-British loan agreement, it is scheduled for public display at the British Museum from 10 September 2026 to 11 July 2027, with the UK providing full indemnity and strict conservation protocols. The contract explicitly requires its return to France no later than 1 September 2027, timed to enable reinstallation ahead of the renovated Bayeux Museum’s reopening later that year. This fixed timeline, backed by high-level diplomatic commitments and successful transport precedents, shapes trader views on the most probable return window, while any unforeseen conservation issues or political shifts remain low-probability variables.

If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,073
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 7:23 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31, 2027" at 86%, followed by "July 31, 2027" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?" is "December 31, 2027" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 31, 2027" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.