**Bank of England policymakers are expected to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% at the September 17 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting the MPC’s recent cautious stance amid mixed inflation signals.** July CPI rose to 2.9% from 2.6% in June, while the July Monetary Policy Report projected a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026 driven by energy-price pass-through from Middle East developments. The July vote split of 6-3 to hold, with three members favoring a 25-basis-point increase, underscored upside risks from potential second-round effects, yet the majority cited insufficient evidence of embedded wage or price pressures and subdued underlying growth. Recent swaps pricing shows minimal tightening embedded for September, consistent with the BoE’s data-dependent approach ahead of the August CPI release on September 16. A clearer acceleration in core services inflation or renewed energy shocks could still tilt the committee toward tightening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of England decision in September?
Bank of England decision in September?
No change 96.2%
25 bps increase 2.9%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$232,833 Vol.
$232,833 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
96%
25 bps increase
3%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 96.2%
25 bps increase 2.9%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$232,833 Vol.
$232,833 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$15,415 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$17,778 Vol.
<1%
No change
$126,648 Vol.
96%
25 bps increase
$59,521 Vol.
3%
50+ bps increase
$13,472 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Bank of England policymakers are expected to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% at the September 17 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting the MPC’s recent cautious stance amid mixed inflation signals.** July CPI rose to 2.9% from 2.6% in June, while the July Monetary Policy Report projected a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026 driven by energy-price pass-through from Middle East developments. The July vote split of 6-3 to hold, with three members favoring a 25-basis-point increase, underscored upside risks from potential second-round effects, yet the majority cited insufficient evidence of embedded wage or price pressures and subdued underlying growth. Recent swaps pricing shows minimal tightening embedded for September, consistent with the BoE’s data-dependent approach ahead of the August CPI release on September 16. A clearer acceleration in core services inflation or renewed energy shocks could still tilt the committee toward tightening.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Volume
$232,833End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Bank of England policymakers are expected to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% at the September 17 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting the MPC’s recent cautious stance amid mixed inflation signals.** July CPI rose to 2.9% from 2.6% in June, while the July Monetary Policy Report projected a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026 driven by energy-price pass-through from Middle East developments. The July vote split of 6-3 to hold, with three members favoring a 25-basis-point increase, underscored upside risks from potential second-round effects, yet the majority cited insufficient evidence of embedded wage or price pressures and subdued underlying growth. Recent swaps pricing shows minimal tightening embedded for September, consistent with the BoE’s data-dependent approach ahead of the August CPI release on September 16. A clearer acceleration in core services inflation or renewed energy shocks could still tilt the committee toward tightening.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volume
$232,833End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Bank of England policymakers are expected to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% at the September 17 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting the MPC’s recent cautious stance amid mixed inflation signals.** July CPI rose to 2.9% from 2.6% in June, while the July Monetary Policy Report projected a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026 driven by energy-price pass-through from Middle East developments. The July vote split of 6-3 to hold, with three members favoring a 25-basis-point increase, underscored upside risks from potential second-round effects, yet the majority cited insufficient evidence of embedded wage or price pressures and subdued underlying growth. Recent swaps pricing shows minimal tightening embedded for September, consistent with the BoE’s data-dependent approach ahead of the August CPI release on September 16. A clearer acceleration in core services inflation or renewed energy shocks could still tilt the committee toward tightening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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