The abrupt cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul’s season by ABC and Disney Entertainment Television on March 19, 2026, three days before its planned premiere, drives the market’s 87% implied probability on “Other (Season Cancelled).” A newly surfaced 2023 video of a domestic altercation prompted the network to shelve the already-filmed episodes rather than risk broadcast amid ongoing controversy, halting all promotion and leaving no official winner. Although spoilers naming Doug Mason as the reported fiancé have circulated since early 2026 and gained minor traction, the absence of an aired season keeps his odds at 10.1% while rendering other listed contestants near-zero. Recent September 2026 spoiler leaks and a fan petition have not shifted network plans, reinforcing trader consensus that the outcome remains a non-event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBachelorette Season 22 Winner
Other (Season Cancelled) 87%
Doug Mason 10.2%
Josh Harward <1%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
$2,465,761 Vol.
$2,465,761 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
87%
Doug Mason
10%
Josh Harward
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Matt Carroll
<1%
Shane Parton
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Ronn Perez
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Other (Season Cancelled) 87%
Doug Mason 10.2%
Josh Harward <1%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
$2,465,761 Vol.
$2,465,761 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
87%
Doug Mason
10%
Josh Harward
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Matt Carroll
<1%
Shane Parton
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Ronn Perez
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The abrupt cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul’s season by ABC and Disney Entertainment Television on March 19, 2026, three days before its planned premiere, drives the market’s 87% implied probability on “Other (Season Cancelled).” A newly surfaced 2023 video of a domestic altercation prompted the network to shelve the already-filmed episodes rather than risk broadcast amid ongoing controversy, halting all promotion and leaving no official winner. Although spoilers naming Doug Mason as the reported fiancé have circulated since early 2026 and gained minor traction, the absence of an aired season keeps his odds at 10.1% while rendering other listed contestants near-zero. Recent September 2026 spoiler leaks and a fan petition have not shifted network plans, reinforcing trader consensus that the outcome remains a non-event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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