Recent May inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, below consensus forecasts of 2.3% and down from April’s 2.6%, anchors trader expectations for June around the 1.8–2.0% range that holds the highest 29% implied probability. Sustained fiscal surplus, tighter monetary policy, and peso stability continue to moderate price pressures, though regulated utility and fuel adjustments plus seasonal food volatility introduce upside risks that support the clustered 2.1–2.6% outcomes near 30% combined. With no single bin exceeding 29% and the distribution remaining competitive, markets price in ongoing but uneven disinflation ahead of the July INDEC release, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of further moderation versus potential rebound in core components.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - June
Argentina Monthly Inflation - June
1.8-2.0% 100.0%
≤1.7% <1%
2.1-2.3% <1%
2.4-2.6% <1%
$14,046 Vol.
$14,046 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
≤1.7%
No
1.8-2.0%
Yes
2.1-2.3%
No
2.4-2.6%
No
2.7-2.9%
No
3.0-3.2%
No
3.3-3.5%
No
3.6%+
No
1.8-2.0% 100.0%
≤1.7% <1%
2.1-2.3% <1%
2.4-2.6% <1%
$14,046 Vol.
$14,046 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
≤1.7%
$4,308 Vol.
No
1.8-2.0%
$5,148 Vol.
Yes
2.1-2.3%
$695 Vol.
No
2.4-2.6%
$1,089 Vol.
No
2.7-2.9%
$508 Vol.
No
3.0-3.2%
$435 Vol.
No
3.3-3.5%
$1,083 Vol.
No
3.6%+
$780 Vol.
No
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in June 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent May inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, below consensus forecasts of 2.3% and down from April’s 2.6%, anchors trader expectations for June around the 1.8–2.0% range that holds the highest 29% implied probability. Sustained fiscal surplus, tighter monetary policy, and peso stability continue to moderate price pressures, though regulated utility and fuel adjustments plus seasonal food volatility introduce upside risks that support the clustered 2.1–2.6% outcomes near 30% combined. With no single bin exceeding 29% and the distribution remaining competitive, markets price in ongoing but uneven disinflation ahead of the July INDEC release, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of further moderation versus potential rebound in core components.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in June 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in June 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$14,046End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in June 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent May inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, below consensus forecasts of 2.3% and down from April’s 2.6%, anchors trader expectations for June around the 1.8–2.0% range that holds the highest 29% implied probability. Sustained fiscal surplus, tighter monetary policy, and peso stability continue to moderate price pressures, though regulated utility and fuel adjustments plus seasonal food volatility introduce upside risks that support the clustered 2.1–2.6% outcomes near 30% combined. With no single bin exceeding 29% and the distribution remaining competitive, markets price in ongoing but uneven disinflation ahead of the July INDEC release, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of further moderation versus potential rebound in core components.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in June 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in June 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$14,046End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent May inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, below consensus forecasts of 2.3% and down from April’s 2.6%, anchors trader expectations for June around the 1.8–2.0% range that holds the highest 29% implied probability. Sustained fiscal surplus, tighter monetary policy, and peso stability continue to moderate price pressures, though regulated utility and fuel adjustments plus seasonal food volatility introduce upside risks that support the clustered 2.1–2.6% outcomes near 30% combined. With no single bin exceeding 29% and the distribution remaining competitive, markets price in ongoing but uneven disinflation ahead of the July INDEC release, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of further moderation versus potential rebound in core components.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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