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icon for Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?

Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?

icon for Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?

Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$72,930 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$72,930 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple Inc. publicly announces that iPhone assembly will occur in the United States by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from Apple will qualify, regardless of if/when U.S. assembly begins. The announcement must specifically mention iPhone assembly (not general Apple product assembly or expansion) and must indicate that the assembly will take place in the U.S., whether through a direct Apple facility or a third-party contractor. Vague statements about exploring or considering U.S. assembly will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple Inc. publicly announces that iPhone assembly will occur in the United States by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from Apple will qualify, regardless of if/when U.S. assembly begins.

The announcement must specifically mention iPhone assembly (not general Apple product assembly or expansion) and must indicate that the assembly will take place in the U.S., whether through a direct Apple facility or a third-party contractor.

Vague statements about exploring or considering U.S. assembly will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$72,930
End Date
Aug 31, 2025
Market Opened
May 23, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple Inc. publicly announces that iPhone assembly will occur in the United States by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from Apple will qualify, regardless of if/when U.S. assembly begins. The announcement must specifically mention iPhone assembly (not general Apple product assembly or expansion) and must indicate that the assembly will take place in the U.S., whether through a direct Apple facility or a third-party contractor. Vague statements about exploring or considering U.S. assembly will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple Inc. publicly announces that iPhone assembly will occur in the United States by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from Apple will qualify, regardless of if/when U.S. assembly begins. The announcement must specifically mention iPhone assembly (not general Apple product assembly or expansion) and must indicate that the assembly will take place in the U.S., whether through a direct Apple facility or a third-party contractor. Vague statements about exploring or considering U.S. assembly will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple Inc. publicly announces that iPhone assembly will occur in the United States by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from Apple will qualify, regardless of if/when U.S. assembly begins.

The announcement must specifically mention iPhone assembly (not general Apple product assembly or expansion) and must indicate that the assembly will take place in the U.S., whether through a direct Apple facility or a third-party contractor.

Vague statements about exploring or considering U.S. assembly will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$72,930
End Date
Aug 31, 2025
Market Opened
May 23, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple Inc. publicly announces that iPhone assembly will occur in the United States by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from Apple will qualify, regardless of if/when U.S. assembly begins. The announcement must specifically mention iPhone assembly (not general Apple product assembly or expansion) and must indicate that the assembly will take place in the U.S., whether through a direct Apple facility or a third-party contractor. Vague statements about exploring or considering U.S. assembly will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?" has generated $72.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.