Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with its recent $965 billion post-money valuation from the May Series H round, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap well above $600 billion. The company’s rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, alongside projections for operating profitability later this year, supports strong pricing power in a favorable AI market environment. With lead underwriters already engaged and a fall or fourth-quarter 2026 listing widely anticipated, the market-implied odds reflect broad consensus that Anthropic will debut at a scale comparable to or exceeding its latest private round. Key near-term catalysts include the public S-1 filing and final pricing details, while any unexpected regulatory delays or shifts in broader tech sentiment remain the primary variables that could still influence the outcome before the 2027 resolution window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated600B+ 89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 8.6%
400–600B 1.1%
300–400B <1%
$373,658 Vol.
$373,658 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
9%
600B+ 89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 8.6%
400–600B 1.1%
300–400B <1%
$373,658 Vol.
$373,658 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$143,558 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$64,634 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$17,585 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$67,330 Vol.
<1%
400–600B
$19,252 Vol.
1%
600B+
$38,831 Vol.
89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$22,468 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with its recent $965 billion post-money valuation from the May Series H round, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap well above $600 billion. The company’s rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, alongside projections for operating profitability later this year, supports strong pricing power in a favorable AI market environment. With lead underwriters already engaged and a fall or fourth-quarter 2026 listing widely anticipated, the market-implied odds reflect broad consensus that Anthropic will debut at a scale comparable to or exceeding its latest private round. Key near-term catalysts include the public S-1 filing and final pricing details, while any unexpected regulatory delays or shifts in broader tech sentiment remain the primary variables that could still influence the outcome before the 2027 resolution window closes.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$373,658End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with its recent $965 billion post-money valuation from the May Series H round, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap well above $600 billion. The company’s rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, alongside projections for operating profitability later this year, supports strong pricing power in a favorable AI market environment. With lead underwriters already engaged and a fall or fourth-quarter 2026 listing widely anticipated, the market-implied odds reflect broad consensus that Anthropic will debut at a scale comparable to or exceeding its latest private round. Key near-term catalysts include the public S-1 filing and final pricing details, while any unexpected regulatory delays or shifts in broader tech sentiment remain the primary variables that could still influence the outcome before the 2027 resolution window closes.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$373,658End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with its recent $965 billion post-money valuation from the May Series H round, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap well above $600 billion. The company’s rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, alongside projections for operating profitability later this year, supports strong pricing power in a favorable AI market environment. With lead underwriters already engaged and a fall or fourth-quarter 2026 listing widely anticipated, the market-implied odds reflect broad consensus that Anthropic will debut at a scale comparable to or exceeding its latest private round. Key near-term catalysts include the public S-1 filing and final pricing details, while any unexpected regulatory delays or shifts in broader tech sentiment remain the primary variables that could still influence the outcome before the 2027 resolution window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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