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Tech·Claude 5

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Market icon
Tech·Claude 5

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$204,869 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$204,869 Vol.

Polymarket

35%+

$69,685 Vol.

97%

45%+

$90,405 Vol.

74%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Anthropic's Claude Mythos Preview, released April 8, 2026, has surged to the top of Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with a 64.7% score using tools—more than doubling prior Claude Opus 4.6's 34.4% from February—reflecting rapid advances in reasoning across its 2,500 expert-level questions in math, science, and humanities. This frontier benchmark tests artificial intelligence limits beyond memorization, where humans still edge out models with ample time. Amid fierce competition from Meta's Muse Spark (58.4%) and others, Anthropic's accelerated Claude 4-series cadence signals potential for further gains by June 30, though resolution depends on the market's exact score threshold, eval conditions like tool use, and any leaderboard revisions. Traders should monitor Anthropic announcements and HLE updates for catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$204,869
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Anthropic's Claude Mythos Preview, released April 8, 2026, has surged to the top of Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with a 64.7% score using tools—more than doubling prior Claude Opus 4.6's 34.4% from February—reflecting rapid advances in reasoning across its 2,500 expert-level questions in math, science, and humanities. This frontier benchmark tests artificial intelligence limits beyond memorization, where humans still edge out models with ample time. Amid fierce competition from Meta's Muse Spark (58.4%) and others, Anthropic's accelerated Claude 4-series cadence signals potential for further gains by June 30, though resolution depends on the market's exact score threshold, eval conditions like tool use, and any leaderboard revisions. Traders should monitor Anthropic announcements and HLE updates for catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$204,869
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30%+" at 100%, followed by "35%+" at 97%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" has generated $204.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" is "30%+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "35%+" at 97%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.