Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 11 special primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, aided by an endorsement from President Trump and strong name recognition from his prior service in the seat. The district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solidly Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent. Clyde Jones, the unopposed Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising and the district's voter composition. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap include a significant national partisan shift, major candidate-specific scandal, or sharply elevated Democratic turnout on November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$47,789 Vol.
$47,789 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
2%
$47,789 Vol.
$47,789 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
$21,382 Vol.
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
$26,406 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 11 special primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, aided by an endorsement from President Trump and strong name recognition from his prior service in the seat. The district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solidly Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent. Clyde Jones, the unopposed Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising and the district's voter composition. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap include a significant national partisan shift, major candidate-specific scandal, or sharply elevated Democratic turnout on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volume
$47,789End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 11 special primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, aided by an endorsement from President Trump and strong name recognition from his prior service in the seat. The district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solidly Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent. Clyde Jones, the unopposed Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising and the district's voter composition. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap include a significant national partisan shift, major candidate-specific scandal, or sharply elevated Democratic turnout on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,789End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 11 special primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, aided by an endorsement from President Trump and strong name recognition from his prior service in the seat. The district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solidly Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent. Clyde Jones, the unopposed Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising and the district's voter composition. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap include a significant national partisan shift, major candidate-specific scandal, or sharply elevated Democratic turnout on November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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