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F1 Drivers' Champion

icon for F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 60.7%

George Russell 16%

Lewis Hamilton 13.4%

Charles Leclerc 2.3%

Polymarket

$175,238,465 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 60.7%

George Russell 16%

Lewis Hamilton 13.4%

Charles Leclerc 2.3%

Polymarket

$175,238,465 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$3,449,044 Vol.

61%

George Russell

$2,217,250 Vol.

16%

Lewis Hamilton

$4,692,364 Vol.

13%

Charles Leclerc

$3,612,190 Vol.

2%

Max Verstappen

$2,606,625 Vol.

2%

Lando Norris

$2,632,330 Vol.

1%

Oscar Piastri

$2,241,321 Vol.

1%

Sergio Pérez

$10,622,842 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$8,554,346 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$11,388,603 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$8,266,285 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$8,575,546 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$7,665,278 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$10,647,319 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$10,446,838 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$11,187,889 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$10,542,149 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$11,839,506 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$10,251,491 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$11,413,569 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$10,964,202 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$11,421,629 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Drivers' Championship with 156 points after seven rounds, driven by five victories and consistent podium finishes for Mercedes that have established him as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus. His strong qualifying pace and racecraft have capitalized on the team's early-season form, creating a substantial gap over teammates and rivals despite a recent DNF in Barcelona. Lewis Hamilton's victory there for Ferrari trimmed the deficit to 41 points and lifted his implied probability, while George Russell remains close behind on 106 points with one win but has faced reliability setbacks. With over half the calendar remaining, including upcoming rounds in Austria and beyond, the extended schedule and potential for variable results across constructors continue to shape the market's measured assessment of Antonelli's position against established champions.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$175,238,465
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Drivers' Championship with 156 points after seven rounds, driven by five victories and consistent podium finishes for Mercedes that have established him as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus. His strong qualifying pace and racecraft have capitalized on the team's early-season form, creating a substantial gap over teammates and rivals despite a recent DNF in Barcelona. Lewis Hamilton's victory there for Ferrari trimmed the deficit to 41 points and lifted his implied probability, while George Russell remains close behind on 106 points with one win but has faced reliability setbacks. With over half the calendar remaining, including upcoming rounds in Austria and beyond, the extended schedule and potential for variable results across constructors continue to shape the market's measured assessment of Antonelli's position against established champions.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$175,238,465
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 61%, followed by "George Russell" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $175.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.