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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

Love Island USA 29%

ChatGPT <1%

Threads <1%

Planet Fitness <1%

Polymarket

$5,341 Vol.

Love Island USA 29%

ChatGPT <1%

Threads <1%

Planet Fitness <1%

Polymarket

$5,341 Vol.

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$1,259 Vol.

No

icon for Threads

Threads

$654 Vol.

No

icon for Planet Fitness

Planet Fitness

$539 Vol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$747 Vol.

No

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$861 Vol.

No

icon for Google

Google

$797 Vol.

No

icon for Love Island USA

Love Island USA

$484 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader sentiment for the #2 free US App Store spot on June 15 shows a tight contest, with multiple apps tied at 50% implied probability amid no dominant leader. This balance arises from real-time ranking volatility driven by download surges from entertainment tie-ins, social features, and category-specific updates in gaming or productivity tools. Niche entries like Love Island USA at 14.5% gain modest traction from media buzz, while AI chatbots such as ChatGPT or Google Gemini sit near 0.1% due to narrower daily appeal. Differentiators include algorithmic sensitivity to engagement spikes, cross-platform promotion, and competing launches that can shift positions rapidly on any given day.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$5,341
End Date
Jun 15, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader sentiment for the #2 free US App Store spot on June 15 shows a tight contest, with multiple apps tied at 50% implied probability amid no dominant leader. This balance arises from real-time ranking volatility driven by download surges from entertainment tie-ins, social features, and category-specific updates in gaming or productivity tools. Niche entries like Love Island USA at 14.5% gain modest traction from media buzz, while AI chatbots such as ChatGPT or Google Gemini sit near 0.1% due to narrower daily appeal. Differentiators include algorithmic sensitivity to engagement spikes, cross-platform promotion, and competing launches that can shift positions rapidly on any given day.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$5,341
End Date
Jun 15, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 0%, followed by "Threads" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?" is "ChatGPT" at just 0%, with "Threads" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.