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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

ChatGPT 100.0%

Claude by Anthropic <1%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money <1%

Polymarket

$7,501 Vol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

Claude by Anthropic <1%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money <1%

Polymarket

$7,501 Vol.

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$986 Vol.

Yes

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$568 Vol.

No

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$563 Vol.

No

icon for Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$420 Vol.

No

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$594 Vol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$631 Vol.

No

icon for Google

Google

$868 Vol.

No

icon for Threads

Threads

$760 Vol.

No

icon for TurboTax: File Your Tax Return

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return

$2,111 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in ChatGPT at a 100% implied probability for the #2 free iPhone app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, driven by real-time charts showing it firmly in second place behind TurboTax: File Your Tax Return amid peak tax season demand. OpenAI's AI chatbot continues dominating the productivity category through consistent user adoption, superior large language model capabilities, and recent updates enhancing features like voice mode and image generation, outpacing rivals Claude by Anthropic (currently #3) and Google Gemini (#4). This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects stable rankings observed over the past week, with no major disruptions. Realistic challenges include viral game launches like Netflix Game Controller, sudden Claude surges from Anthropic announcements, or post-tax promotional spikes displacing it before end-of-day resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$7,501
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in ChatGPT at a 100% implied probability for the #2 free iPhone app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, driven by real-time charts showing it firmly in second place behind TurboTax: File Your Tax Return amid peak tax season demand. OpenAI's AI chatbot continues dominating the productivity category through consistent user adoption, superior large language model capabilities, and recent updates enhancing features like voice mode and image generation, outpacing rivals Claude by Anthropic (currently #3) and Google Gemini (#4). This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects stable rankings observed over the past week, with no major disruptions. Realistic challenges include viral game launches like Netflix Game Controller, sudden Claude surges from Anthropic announcements, or post-tax promotional spikes displacing it before end-of-day resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$7,501
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 100%, followed by "Claude by Anthropic" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" is "ChatGPT" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.