Olivia Rodrigo’s “Stupid Song” has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 99.1% implied probability, driven by its sustained dominance atop the global Spotify chart with multi-million daily streams and multiple days at #1. The track’s early momentum, paired with Rodrigo’s established streaming power and recent album release, has created a steep barrier for challengers. Historical patterns show late-week surges are rare once a song builds this level of consistent plays, though an unexpected viral spike from a competitor or major promotional push could theoretically shift the final weekly tally before the June 19 cutoff.