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icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Claude by Anthropic <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$13,199 Vol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Claude by Anthropic <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$13,199 Vol.

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$6,887 Vol.

Yes

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$588 Vol.

No

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$871 Vol.

No

icon for Google

Google

$591 Vol.

No

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$496 Vol.

No

icon for ALO

ALO

$699 Vol.

No

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$653 Vol.

No

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$1,602 Vol.

No

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$813 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).OpenAI's rollout of the GPT-5.5 Instant large language model within the ChatGPT app just days ago triggered a massive download surge, propelling it back to the #1 spot among free iPhone apps in the US Apple App Store, where it holds firm today per Sensor Tower and Appfigures charts. This technical upgrade enhances real-time AI capabilities like faster responses and image generation, reinforcing trader consensus at a 100% implied probability amid sustained demand for artificial intelligence assistants. Competitors like Anthropic's Claude and Google Gemini trail closely, but ChatGPT's first-mover dominance and 7 million+ recent US downloads underpin the positioning. Realistic challenges include viral spikes from non-AI apps such as Temu or CapCut, or fleeting indie surges, though end-of-day resolution proximity favors stability.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$13,199
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).OpenAI's rollout of the GPT-5.5 Instant large language model within the ChatGPT app just days ago triggered a massive download surge, propelling it back to the #1 spot among free iPhone apps in the US Apple App Store, where it holds firm today per Sensor Tower and Appfigures charts. This technical upgrade enhances real-time AI capabilities like faster responses and image generation, reinforcing trader consensus at a 100% implied probability amid sustained demand for artificial intelligence assistants. Competitors like Anthropic's Claude and Google Gemini trail closely, but ChatGPT's first-mover dominance and 7 million+ recent US downloads underpin the positioning. Realistic challenges include viral spikes from non-AI apps such as Temu or CapCut, or fleeting indie surges, though end-of-day resolution proximity favors stability.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$13,199
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 100%, followed by "Google Gemini" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?" has generated $13.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?" is "ChatGPT" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Google Gemini" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.