ChatGPT's implied probability of 100% as the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on March 27 reflects trader consensus backed by official App Store rankings and third-party trackers like Sensor Tower, confirming its top position amid explosive user growth for OpenAI's artificial intelligence chatbot. Surging downloads stem from recent enhancements like advanced voice mode and multimodal large language model features, driving viral engagement and outpacing competitors such as Google Gemini or seasonal apps like NCAA March Madness Live during late March's basketball frenzy. This dominance aligns with ChatGPT's pattern of leading free app charts since its iOS launch, fueled by the broader AI adoption boom. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data audit reversal or leaderboard glitch could shift resolution, but verified daily snapshots lock in the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChatGPT 100.0%
Google Gemini <1%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money <1%
ESPN Tournament Challenge <1%
$29,229 Vol.
$29,229 Vol.

ChatGPT
Yes

Google Gemini
No

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
No

ESPN Tournament Challenge
No

Claude by Anthropic
No

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
No

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
No

NCAA March Madness Live
No

Threads
No

MyTSA
No
ChatGPT 100.0%
Google Gemini <1%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money <1%
ESPN Tournament Challenge <1%
$29,229 Vol.
$29,229 Vol.

ChatGPT
Yes

Google Gemini
No

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
No

ESPN Tournament Challenge
No

Claude by Anthropic
No

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
No

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
No

NCAA March Madness Live
No

Threads
No

MyTSA
No
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
ChatGPT's implied probability of 100% as the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on March 27 reflects trader consensus backed by official App Store rankings and third-party trackers like Sensor Tower, confirming its top position amid explosive user growth for OpenAI's artificial intelligence chatbot. Surging downloads stem from recent enhancements like advanced voice mode and multimodal large language model features, driving viral engagement and outpacing competitors such as Google Gemini or seasonal apps like NCAA March Madness Live during late March's basketball frenzy. This dominance aligns with ChatGPT's pattern of leading free app charts since its iOS launch, fueled by the broader AI adoption boom. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data audit reversal or leaderboard glitch could shift resolution, but verified daily snapshots lock in the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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