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icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money <1%

ESPN Tournament Challenge <1%

Polymarket

$29,229 Vol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money <1%

ESPN Tournament Challenge <1%

Polymarket

$29,229 Vol.

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$16,269 Vol.

Yes

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$1,237 Vol.

No

icon for Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$1,614 Vol.

No

icon for ESPN Tournament Challenge

ESPN Tournament Challenge

$1,336 Vol.

No

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$1,883 Vol.

No

icon for CBS Sports App: Scores & News

CBS Sports App: Scores & News

$1,151 Vol.

No

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$1,211 Vol.

No

icon for NCAA March Madness Live

NCAA March Madness Live

$1,433 Vol.

No

icon for Threads

Threads

$1,644 Vol.

No

icon for MyTSA

MyTSA

$1,450 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT's implied probability of 100% as the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on March 27 reflects trader consensus backed by official App Store rankings and third-party trackers like Sensor Tower, confirming its top position amid explosive user growth for OpenAI's artificial intelligence chatbot. Surging downloads stem from recent enhancements like advanced voice mode and multimodal large language model features, driving viral engagement and outpacing competitors such as Google Gemini or seasonal apps like NCAA March Madness Live during late March's basketball frenzy. This dominance aligns with ChatGPT's pattern of leading free app charts since its iOS launch, fueled by the broader AI adoption boom. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data audit reversal or leaderboard glitch could shift resolution, but verified daily snapshots lock in the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$29,229
End Date
Mar 27, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT's implied probability of 100% as the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on March 27 reflects trader consensus backed by official App Store rankings and third-party trackers like Sensor Tower, confirming its top position amid explosive user growth for OpenAI's artificial intelligence chatbot. Surging downloads stem from recent enhancements like advanced voice mode and multimodal large language model features, driving viral engagement and outpacing competitors such as Google Gemini or seasonal apps like NCAA March Madness Live during late March's basketball frenzy. This dominance aligns with ChatGPT's pattern of leading free app charts since its iOS launch, fueled by the broader AI adoption boom. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data audit reversal or leaderboard glitch could shift resolution, but verified daily snapshots lock in the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$29,229
End Date
Mar 27, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 100%, followed by "Google Gemini" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?" has generated $29.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?" is "ChatGPT" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Google Gemini" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.