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icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Threads <1%

Polymarket

$15,299 Vol.

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Threads <1%

Polymarket

$15,299 Vol.

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$715 Vol.

No

icon for Google

Google

$887 Vol.

No

icon for Threads

Threads

$633 Vol.

No

icon for TurboTax: File Your Tax Return

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return

$6,788 Vol.

Yes

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$4,364 Vol.

No

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$579 Vol.

No

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$281 Vol.

No

icon for Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$558 Vol.

No

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$494 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in TurboTax: File Your Tax Return at a 100% implied probability for topping the US Apple App Store free apps chart on April 17, fueled by the federal tax filing deadline on April 15 driving urgent downloads from procrastinators seeking extensions and last-minute e-filing. App analytics from Sensor Tower and Appfigures confirm TurboTax's commanding lead, with over 938,000 daily downloads far outpacing AI challengers like ChatGPT (2nd), Claude by Anthropic (3rd), and Google Gemini (4th), amid Intuit's optimized mobile tax prep features. This mirrors historical tax-season surges, though rare end-of-day chart volatility or an unprecedented viral competitor spike could theoretically disrupt resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$15,299
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in TurboTax: File Your Tax Return at a 100% implied probability for topping the US Apple App Store free apps chart on April 17, fueled by the federal tax filing deadline on April 15 driving urgent downloads from procrastinators seeking extensions and last-minute e-filing. App analytics from Sensor Tower and Appfigures confirm TurboTax's commanding lead, with over 938,000 daily downloads far outpacing AI challengers like ChatGPT (2nd), Claude by Anthropic (3rd), and Google Gemini (4th), amid Intuit's optimized mobile tax prep features. This mirrors historical tax-season surges, though rare end-of-day chart volatility or an unprecedented viral competitor spike could theoretically disrupt resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$15,299
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "TurboTax: File Your Tax Return" at 100%, followed by "Google Gemini" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" has generated $15.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" is "TurboTax: File Your Tax Return" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Google Gemini" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.