Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in TurboTax: File Your Tax Return at a 100% implied probability for topping the US Apple App Store free apps chart on April 17, fueled by the federal tax filing deadline on April 15 driving urgent downloads from procrastinators seeking extensions and last-minute e-filing. App analytics from Sensor Tower and Appfigures confirm TurboTax's commanding lead, with over 938,000 daily downloads far outpacing AI challengers like ChatGPT (2nd), Claude by Anthropic (3rd), and Google Gemini (4th), amid Intuit's optimized mobile tax prep features. This mirrors historical tax-season surges, though rare end-of-day chart volatility or an unprecedented viral competitor spike could theoretically disrupt resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTurboTax: File Your Tax Return 100.0%
Google Gemini <1%
Google <1%
Threads <1%
$15,299 Vol.
$15,299 Vol.

Google Gemini
No

No

Threads
No

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
Yes

ChatGPT
No

Claude by Anthropic
No

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
No

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
No

Netflix Game Controller
No
TurboTax: File Your Tax Return 100.0%
Google Gemini <1%
Google <1%
Threads <1%
$15,299 Vol.
$15,299 Vol.

Google Gemini
No

No

Threads
No

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
Yes

ChatGPT
No

Claude by Anthropic
No

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
No

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
No

Netflix Game Controller
No
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in TurboTax: File Your Tax Return at a 100% implied probability for topping the US Apple App Store free apps chart on April 17, fueled by the federal tax filing deadline on April 15 driving urgent downloads from procrastinators seeking extensions and last-minute e-filing. App analytics from Sensor Tower and Appfigures confirm TurboTax's commanding lead, with over 938,000 daily downloads far outpacing AI challengers like ChatGPT (2nd), Claude by Anthropic (3rd), and Google Gemini (4th), amid Intuit's optimized mobile tax prep features. This mirrors historical tax-season surges, though rare end-of-day chart volatility or an unprecedented viral competitor spike could theoretically disrupt resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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