The limited competitiveness of Wyoming’s open Senate race, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James W. Byrd in a solidly Republican state, anchors trader expectations for general election turnout near historical midterm levels. Recent August primaries drew roughly 150,000 votes, or 55% of registered voters, consistent with prior cycles outside high-profile contests, while the 2022 midterm general produced about 198,000 ballots. Key variables include typical drop-off from the 2024 presidential election’s 271,000 votes, variable rural participation rates, and potential Election Day weather effects. Early and absentee voting patterns, along with modest get-out-the-vote efforts, could influence final totals within the 170,000–230,000 range that currently dominates market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado190K-210K 43%
170K-190K 25%
210K-230K 23%
250K+ 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<150K
3%
150K-170K
4%
170K-190K
25%
190K-210K
43%
210K-230K
23%
230K-250K
4%
250K+
6%
190K-210K 43%
170K-190K 25%
210K-230K 23%
250K+ 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<150K
$246 Vol.
3%
150K-170K
$87 Vol.
4%
170K-190K
$151 Vol.
25%
190K-210K
$1,885 Vol.
43%
210K-230K
$186 Vol.
23%
230K-250K
$85 Vol.
4%
250K+
$572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The limited competitiveness of Wyoming’s open Senate race, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James W. Byrd in a solidly Republican state, anchors trader expectations for general election turnout near historical midterm levels. Recent August primaries drew roughly 150,000 votes, or 55% of registered voters, consistent with prior cycles outside high-profile contests, while the 2022 midterm general produced about 198,000 ballots. Key variables include typical drop-off from the 2024 presidential election’s 271,000 votes, variable rural participation rates, and potential Election Day weather effects. Early and absentee voting patterns, along with modest get-out-the-vote efforts, could influence final totals within the 170,000–230,000 range that currently dominates market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volumen
$3,213Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The limited competitiveness of Wyoming’s open Senate race, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James W. Byrd in a solidly Republican state, anchors trader expectations for general election turnout near historical midterm levels. Recent August primaries drew roughly 150,000 votes, or 55% of registered voters, consistent with prior cycles outside high-profile contests, while the 2022 midterm general produced about 198,000 ballots. Key variables include typical drop-off from the 2024 presidential election’s 271,000 votes, variable rural participation rates, and potential Election Day weather effects. Early and absentee voting patterns, along with modest get-out-the-vote efforts, could influence final totals within the 170,000–230,000 range that currently dominates market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,213Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The limited competitiveness of Wyoming’s open Senate race, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James W. Byrd in a solidly Republican state, anchors trader expectations for general election turnout near historical midterm levels. Recent August primaries drew roughly 150,000 votes, or 55% of registered voters, consistent with prior cycles outside high-profile contests, while the 2022 midterm general produced about 198,000 ballots. Key variables include typical drop-off from the 2024 presidential election’s 271,000 votes, variable rural participation rates, and potential Election Day weather effects. Early and absentee voting patterns, along with modest get-out-the-vote efforts, could influence final totals within the 170,000–230,000 range that currently dominates market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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