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icon for ¿Trump perdonará a alguien antes de...?

¿Trump perdonará a alguien antes de...?

icon for ¿Trump perdonará a alguien antes de...?

¿Trump perdonará a alguien antes de...?

$10,449 Vol.

31 ago 2026
Polymarket

$10,449 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 31 de agosto

31 de agosto

$2,371 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised his constitutional pardon authority extensively in his second term, issuing a blanket clemency for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day in January 2025, followed by additional grants for fake electors in November 2025 and targeted cases in early 2026. Recent actions include 17 pardons in July 2026 covering Clean Air Act violations and a Republican donor, plus earlier commutations and individual grants tracked on the Department of Justice clemency list. These developments reflect priorities around reversing prior prosecutions, aiding allies, and addressing specific federal convictions. With multiple rounds already completed and no structural limits on further use before year-end deadlines, trader consensus on markets tied to near-term dates centers on the pattern of continued executive action rather than isolated events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$10,449
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised his constitutional pardon authority extensively in his second term, issuing a blanket clemency for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day in January 2025, followed by additional grants for fake electors in November 2025 and targeted cases in early 2026. Recent actions include 17 pardons in July 2026 covering Clean Air Act violations and a Republican donor, plus earlier commutations and individual grants tracked on the Department of Justice clemency list. These developments reflect priorities around reversing prior prosecutions, aiding allies, and addressing specific federal convictions. With multiple rounds already completed and no structural limits on further use before year-end deadlines, trader consensus on markets tied to near-term dates centers on the pattern of continued executive action rather than isolated events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$10,449
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump perdonará a alguien antes de...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de agosto" con 32%, seguido de "¿Perdonará Trump a alguien antes del 31 de julio?" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 32¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump perdonará a alguien antes de...?" ha generado $10.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 6, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump perdonará a alguien antes de...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump perdonará a alguien antes de...?" es "31 de agosto" con 32%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "¿Perdonará Trump a alguien antes del 31 de julio?" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump perdonará a alguien antes de...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.