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icon for ¿Volverá Trump a volar en el Air Force 1 original este mes?

¿Volverá Trump a volar en el Air Force 1 original este mes?

icon for ¿Volverá Trump a volar en el Air Force 1 original este mes?

¿Volverá Trump a volar en el Air Force 1 original este mes?

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$1,871 Vol.

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$1,871 Vol.

On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s transition to the newly operational Qatari-gifted Boeing 747-8 as Air Force One, which entered service in early July 2026 after accelerated modifications, has established it as the primary presidential aircraft. Official statements confirm that any further security enhancements to the new jet, described as “maxing out” its defensive capabilities, are slated for the fall rather than August, leaving the older VC-25A aircraft (commonly referenced as the original Air Force One) without scheduled use this month. Traders reflect this timeline in the near-certain pricing, as no upcoming flights, summits, or domestic travel in August require reverting to the legacy planes. Unforeseen developments, such as an immediate security assessment prompting an early switch, a short-notice international trip, or maintenance grounding the newer aircraft, remain the limited pathways that could alter the outcome before month-end.

On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,871
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s transition to the newly operational Qatari-gifted Boeing 747-8 as Air Force One, which entered service in early July 2026 after accelerated modifications, has established it as the primary presidential aircraft. Official statements confirm that any further security enhancements to the new jet, described as “maxing out” its defensive capabilities, are slated for the fall rather than August, leaving the older VC-25A aircraft (commonly referenced as the original Air Force One) without scheduled use this month. Traders reflect this timeline in the near-certain pricing, as no upcoming flights, summits, or domestic travel in August require reverting to the legacy planes. Unforeseen developments, such as an immediate security assessment prompting an early switch, a short-notice international trip, or maintenance grounding the newer aircraft, remain the limited pathways that could alter the outcome before month-end.

On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,871
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Volverá Trump a volar en el Air Force 1 original este mes?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Volverá Trump a volar en el Air Force 1 original este mes?" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Volverá Trump a volar en el Air Force 1 original este mes?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 9, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Volverá Trump a volar en el Air Force 1 original este mes?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Volverá Trump a volar en el Air Force 1 original este mes?" es "¿Volverá Trump a volar en el Air Force 1 original este mes?" con solo 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Volverá Trump a volar en el Air Force 1 original este mes?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.