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icon for ¿Bailará Trump en...?

¿Bailará Trump en...?

icon for ¿Bailará Trump en...?

¿Bailará Trump en...?

$25,305 Vol.

1 jul 2026
Polymarket

$25,305 Vol.

Polymarket

8 de junio

$1,599 Vol.

No

4 de junio

$140 Vol.

No

5 de junio

$3,377 Vol.

6 de junio

$248 Vol.

No

7 de junio

$748 Vol.

No

27 de junio

$459 Vol.

No

16 de junio

$871 Vol.

No

12 de junio

$401 Vol.

No

17 de junio

$450 Vol.

No

29 de junio

$379 Vol.

No

3 de junio

$457 Vol.

No

14 de junio

$2,859 Vol.

No

15 de junio

$643 Vol.

No

18 de junio

$114 Vol.

No

22 de junio

$1,707 Vol.

No

20 de junio

$455 Vol.

No

9 de junio

$487 Vol.

No

24 de junio

$4,549 Vol.

28 de junio

$763 Vol.

No

19 de junio

$753 Vol.

No

25 de junio

$714 Vol.

No

30 de junio

$174 Vol.

No

10 de junio

$349 Vol.

No

13 de junio

$566 Vol.

No

21 de junio

$865 Vol.

No

26 de junio

$327 Vol.

11 de junio

$351 Vol.

No

23 de junio

$500 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's signature YMCA dance has become a recurring cultural staple at rallies, dinners, and White House events, driving trader interest in daily resolution markets that hinge on verifiable public video. Recent performances include extended sets on the South Lawn during a May 2026 Presidential Fitness event with students and at the NRCC dinner, reinforcing momentum for yes outcomes at high-energy gatherings. Traders monitor his packed schedule of appearances, from UFC events to official ceremonies, where audience enthusiasm often prompts the move. Resolution relies strictly on published footage, creating volatility around quieter days or private settings. Upcoming catalysts like major political or sports-related functions could shift odds quickly based on his public mood and event tone.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volumen
$25,305
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's signature YMCA dance has become a recurring cultural staple at rallies, dinners, and White House events, driving trader interest in daily resolution markets that hinge on verifiable public video. Recent performances include extended sets on the South Lawn during a May 2026 Presidential Fitness event with students and at the NRCC dinner, reinforcing momentum for yes outcomes at high-energy gatherings. Traders monitor his packed schedule of appearances, from UFC events to official ceremonies, where audience enthusiasm often prompts the move. Resolution relies strictly on published footage, creating volatility around quieter days or private settings. Upcoming catalysts like major political or sports-related functions could shift odds quickly based on his public mood and event tone.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volumen
$25,305
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Bailará Trump en...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 28 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "5 de junio" con 100%, seguido de "24 de junio" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Bailará Trump en...?" ha generado $25.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 2, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Bailará Trump en...?", explora los 28 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Bailará Trump en...?" es "5 de junio" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "24 de junio" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Bailará Trump en...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.