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icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

$1,870,343 Vol.

31 may 2026
Polymarket

$1,870,343 Vol.

Polymarket

May 1

$233,270 Vol.

Yes

May 2

$2,193 Vol.

No

May 3

$3,829 Vol.

No

May 4

$2,172 Vol.

No

May 5

$4,943 Vol.

Yes

May 6

$1,288 Vol.

No

May 7

$3,825 Vol.

No

May 8

$2,895 Vol.

No

May 9

$2,709 Vol.

No

May 10

$2,023 Vol.

No

May 11

$2,556 Vol.

No

May 12

$3,052 Vol.

No

May 13

$3,699 Vol.

No

May 14

$1,180 Vol.

No

May 15

$1,210 Vol.

No

May 16

$1,736 Vol.

No

May 17

$23,805 Vol.

No

May 18

$8,315 Vol.

No

May 19

$1,676 Vol.

Yes

May 20

$4,082 Vol.

No

May 21

$4,359 Vol.

No

May 22

$42,882 Vol.

Yes

May 23

$4,763 Vol.

No

May 24

$2,279 Vol.

No

May 25

$1,470,354 Vol.

No

May 26

$6,786 Vol.

No

May 27

$5,213 Vol.

No

May 28

$4,533 Vol.

No

May 29

$4,443 Vol.

No

May 30

$7,886 Vol.

No

May 31

$6,389 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump’s signature “YMCA” routine has become a reliable crowd-pleaser at rallies and White House events, with multiple documented performances in May 2026 at a South Lawn fitness test and a New York campaign stop. Trader sentiment for the current “Will Trump dance on…?” window reflects the absence of a scheduled high-energy appearance likely to trigger the move, pushing Yes shares to single digits despite the precedent of spontaneous dancing. The market’s heavy volume on No underscores how quickly the outcome hinges on whether music or stage cues appear before resolution, a pattern consistent with earlier resolved markets that settled quickly once the day’s schedule was clear.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volumen
$1,870,343
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump’s signature “YMCA” routine has become a reliable crowd-pleaser at rallies and White House events, with multiple documented performances in May 2026 at a South Lawn fitness test and a New York campaign stop. Trader sentiment for the current “Will Trump dance on…?” window reflects the absence of a scheduled high-energy appearance likely to trigger the move, pushing Yes shares to single digits despite the precedent of spontaneous dancing. The market’s heavy volume on No underscores how quickly the outcome hinges on whether music or stage cues appear before resolution, a pattern consistent with earlier resolved markets that settled quickly once the day’s schedule was clear.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volumen
$1,870,343
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Trump dance on...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 31 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "May 1" con 100%, seguido de "May 5" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Trump dance on...?" ha generado $1.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Trump dance on...?", explora los 31 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will Trump dance on...?" es "May 1" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "May 5" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Trump dance on...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.