Market icon

RFK Jr. wins a state?

Market icon

RFK Jr. wins a state?

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$378,868 Vol.

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$378,868 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market. This market may resolve immediately if at least one state has been called for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC or if all states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race for all states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market.

This market may resolve immediately if at least one state has been called for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC or if all states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race for all states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Volumen
$378,868
Fecha de finalización
5 nov 2024
Mercado abierto
May 7, 2024, 6:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market. This market may resolve immediately if at least one state has been called for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC or if all states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race for all states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market. This market may resolve immediately if at least one state has been called for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC or if all states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race for all states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market.

This market may resolve immediately if at least one state has been called for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC or if all states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race for all states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Volumen
$378,868
Fecha de finalización
5 nov 2024
Mercado abierto
May 7, 2024, 6:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market. This market may resolve immediately if at least one state has been called for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC or if all states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race for all states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"RFK Jr. wins a state?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "RFK Jr. wins a state?" ha generado $378.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 7, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "RFK Jr. wins a state?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "RFK Jr. wins a state?" es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "RFK Jr. wins a state?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.