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Política·Hunter Biden

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

icon for Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
Política·Hunter Biden

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

5% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
5% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hunter Biden has shown no public signals, exploratory committee formation, candidate filings, or outreach to Delaware Democratic Party officials ahead of the July 14, 2026, deadline for a potential U.S. Senate announcement. Incumbent Chris Coons faces multiple other Democratic primary entrants already on the ballot for the September 2026 contest, while Hunter Biden’s recent activity centers on personal legal resolutions and social media engagement rather than electoral infrastructure. Delaware’s filing deadlines and primary calendar offer limited flexibility for an unheralded late entry, consistent with historical patterns in which presidential family members rarely pursue Senate bids without prior institutional backing. Traders reflect this absence of developments in the current 94.8% implied probability assigned to no announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,600
Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hunter Biden has shown no public signals, exploratory committee formation, candidate filings, or outreach to Delaware Democratic Party officials ahead of the July 14, 2026, deadline for a potential U.S. Senate announcement. Incumbent Chris Coons faces multiple other Democratic primary entrants already on the ballot for the September 2026 contest, while Hunter Biden’s recent activity centers on personal legal resolutions and social media engagement rather than electoral infrastructure. Delaware’s filing deadlines and primary calendar offer limited flexibility for an unheralded late entry, consistent with historical patterns in which presidential family members rarely pursue Senate bids without prior institutional backing. Traders reflect this absence of developments in the current 94.8% implied probability assigned to no announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,600
Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 5% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 5¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 5% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 19, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" es 5% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 5% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.