The ICJ’s South Africa v. Israel case under the Genocide Convention remains in its written-pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due only in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder in May 2029. No oral hearings or final judgment on the merits are scheduled before the December 2027 market cutoff, consistent with the court’s deliberate pace in prior Genocide Convention disputes. Parallel ICC proceedings involve arrest warrants for Israeli officials on other charges but have not advanced to any genocide conviction. The high evidentiary threshold for proving specific intent to destroy a group, combined with these extended timelines and pending jurisdictional objections, underpins trader expectations that no international court will deliver a guilty finding by the resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado13% probabilidad
$99,447 Vol.
$99,447 Vol.
31 dic 2027
13% probabilidad
$99,447 Vol.
$99,447 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ’s South Africa v. Israel case under the Genocide Convention remains in its written-pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due only in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder in May 2029. No oral hearings or final judgment on the merits are scheduled before the December 2027 market cutoff, consistent with the court’s deliberate pace in prior Genocide Convention disputes. Parallel ICC proceedings involve arrest warrants for Israeli officials on other charges but have not advanced to any genocide conviction. The high evidentiary threshold for proving specific intent to destroy a group, combined with these extended timelines and pending jurisdictional objections, underpins trader expectations that no international court will deliver a guilty finding by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
Volumen
$99,447Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ’s South Africa v. Israel case under the Genocide Convention remains in its written-pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due only in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder in May 2029. No oral hearings or final judgment on the merits are scheduled before the December 2027 market cutoff, consistent with the court’s deliberate pace in prior Genocide Convention disputes. Parallel ICC proceedings involve arrest warrants for Israeli officials on other charges but have not advanced to any genocide conviction. The high evidentiary threshold for proving specific intent to destroy a group, combined with these extended timelines and pending jurisdictional objections, underpins trader expectations that no international court will deliver a guilty finding by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$99,447Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ICJ’s South Africa v. Israel case under the Genocide Convention remains in its written-pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due only in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder in May 2029. No oral hearings or final judgment on the merits are scheduled before the December 2027 market cutoff, consistent with the court’s deliberate pace in prior Genocide Convention disputes. Parallel ICC proceedings involve arrest warrants for Israeli officials on other charges but have not advanced to any genocide conviction. The high evidentiary threshold for proving specific intent to destroy a group, combined with these extended timelines and pending jurisdictional objections, underpins trader expectations that no international court will deliver a guilty finding by the resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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