No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of “No.” Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstacles—linkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delays—prevented additional signings after Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry. Somaliland’s earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the market’s exact criteria before final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
<1% probabilidad
$50,486 Vol.
$50,486 Vol.
31 jul 2026
Sí
<1% probabilidad
$50,486 Vol.
$50,486 Vol.
31 jul 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of “No.” Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstacles—linkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delays—prevented additional signings after Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry. Somaliland’s earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the market’s exact criteria before final settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volumen
$50,486Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of “No.” Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstacles—linkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delays—prevented additional signings after Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry. Somaliland’s earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the market’s exact criteria before final settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$50,486Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of “No.” Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstacles—linkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delays—prevented additional signings after Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry. Somaliland’s earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the market’s exact criteria before final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes