**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
<1% probabilidad
$56,848 Vol.
$56,848 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Sí
<1% probabilidad
$56,848 Vol.
$56,848 Vol.
31 ago 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volumen
$56,848Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$56,848Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes