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icon for Which state will Trump win by the largest margin?

Which state will Trump win by the largest margin?

icon for Which state will Trump win by the largest margin?

Which state will Trump win by the largest margin?

Wyoming 99.6%

Arkansas 1.2%

Oklahoma <1%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$228,229 Vol.

Wyoming 99.6%

Arkansas 1.2%

Oklahoma <1%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$228,229 Vol.

Idaho

$14,302 Vol.

No

Wyoming

$120,027 Vol.

Yes

West Virginia

$34,615 Vol.

No

Oklahoma

$12,566 Vol.

No

North Dakota

$13,121 Vol.

No

Arkansas

$21,070 Vol.

No

Other

$12,527 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Idaho has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wyoming has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if West Virginia has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oklahoma has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Dakota has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arkansas has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if another state other than ID, WY, WV, OK, ND, or AR has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses every state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "Yes". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Idaho has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No".

The District of Columbia will not count.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes.

If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Volumen
$228,229
Fecha de finalización
5 nov 2024
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2024, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Idaho has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Idaho has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wyoming has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if West Virginia has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oklahoma has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Dakota has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arkansas has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if another state other than ID, WY, WV, OK, ND, or AR has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses every state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "Yes". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Idaho has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No".

The District of Columbia will not count.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes.

If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Volumen
$228,229
Fecha de finalización
5 nov 2024
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2024, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Idaho has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which state will Trump win by the largest margin?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Wyoming" con 100%, seguido de "Idaho" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which state will Trump win by the largest margin?" ha generado $228.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 9, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which state will Trump win by the largest margin?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which state will Trump win by the largest margin?" es "Wyoming" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Idaho" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which state will Trump win by the largest margin?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.