Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis and fragile US-Iran ceasefire, naval positioning by multiple nations has centered on securing the vital energy transit route that handles roughly 20% of global oil flows. The US Navy has conducted repeated transits and guided commercial vessels through the strait in recent weeks, while the UK deployed HMS Dragon and France advanced its Charles de Gaulle carrier group toward the region as part of joint planning for defensive escort operations. Germany, Italy, and other European allies contributed minesweepers and frigates to a multinational flotilla, reflecting coordinated efforts to stabilize shipping lanes amid elevated geopolitical risk. These developments tie directly to broader market dynamics in crude benchmarks, tanker rates, and insurance premiums, with resolution timelines hinging on final diplomatic milestones before the May 31 cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
$1,551,481 Vol.
31 may 2026
United Kingdom
No
France
No
Germany
No
Italy
No
Netherlands
No
Japan
No
Canada
No
India
No
Greece
No
Pakistan
No
United States
Yes
Saudi Arabia
No
UAE
No
Bahrain
No
Qatar
No
Kuwait
No
Oman
No
South Korea
No
Australia
No
$1,551,481 Vol.
United Kingdom
$222,605 Vol.
No
France
$139,172 Vol.
No
Germany
$288,509 Vol.
No
Italy
$154,420 Vol.
No
Netherlands
$72,168 Vol.
No
Japan
$194,440 Vol.
No
Canada
$25,365 Vol.
No
India
$20,529 Vol.
No
Greece
$27,067 Vol.
No
Pakistan
$22,566 Vol.
No
United States
$75,643 Vol.
Yes
Saudi Arabia
$26,589 Vol.
No
UAE
$8,332 Vol.
No
Bahrain
$30,782 Vol.
No
Qatar
$8,317 Vol.
No
Kuwait
$7,764 Vol.
No
Oman
$30,665 Vol.
No
South Korea
$106,152 Vol.
No
Australia
$90,395 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis and fragile US-Iran ceasefire, naval positioning by multiple nations has centered on securing the vital energy transit route that handles roughly 20% of global oil flows. The US Navy has conducted repeated transits and guided commercial vessels through the strait in recent weeks, while the UK deployed HMS Dragon and France advanced its Charles de Gaulle carrier group toward the region as part of joint planning for defensive escort operations. Germany, Italy, and other European allies contributed minesweepers and frigates to a multinational flotilla, reflecting coordinated efforts to stabilize shipping lanes amid elevated geopolitical risk. These developments tie directly to broader market dynamics in crude benchmarks, tanker rates, and insurance premiums, with resolution timelines hinging on final diplomatic milestones before the May 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volumen
$1,551,481Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis and fragile US-Iran ceasefire, naval positioning by multiple nations has centered on securing the vital energy transit route that handles roughly 20% of global oil flows. The US Navy has conducted repeated transits and guided commercial vessels through the strait in recent weeks, while the UK deployed HMS Dragon and France advanced its Charles de Gaulle carrier group toward the region as part of joint planning for defensive escort operations. Germany, Italy, and other European allies contributed minesweepers and frigates to a multinational flotilla, reflecting coordinated efforts to stabilize shipping lanes amid elevated geopolitical risk. These developments tie directly to broader market dynamics in crude benchmarks, tanker rates, and insurance premiums, with resolution timelines hinging on final diplomatic milestones before the May 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$1,551,481Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis and fragile US-Iran ceasefire, naval positioning by multiple nations has centered on securing the vital energy transit route that handles roughly 20% of global oil flows. The US Navy has conducted repeated transits and guided commercial vessels through the strait in recent weeks, while the UK deployed HMS Dragon and France advanced its Charles de Gaulle carrier group toward the region as part of joint planning for defensive escort operations. Germany, Italy, and other European allies contributed minesweepers and frigates to a multinational flotilla, reflecting coordinated efforts to stabilize shipping lanes amid elevated geopolitical risk. These developments tie directly to broader market dynamics in crude benchmarks, tanker rates, and insurance premiums, with resolution timelines hinging on final diplomatic milestones before the May 31 cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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